Sport Picks
Match Events
58'
58'
Moreno F.
64'
64'
Sanchez C.
80'
80'
Ballesteros J.
AI Match Summary
Sevilla C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sevilla C.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sevilla C lately — more wins on the board than Castilleja CF.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sevilla C have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sevilla C Clean Sheet 68%
Castilleja CF Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sevilla C | Castilleja CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sevilla C vs Castilleja CF
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Sevilla C
2:0
Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Sevilla C
2:3
Nov 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sevilla C vs Castilleja CF
2:1
Apr 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sevilla C vs Castilleja CF
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sevilla C Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreno F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ballesteros J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Castilleja CF Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sevilla C 41 / 100
Castilleja CF 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sevilla C Castilleja CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castilleja CF let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Sevilla C remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Castilleja CF lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sevilla C VS Castilleja CF
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sevilla C
(Home) 10 May
Sevilla C
0 : 0 Atletico Central
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0 Sevilla C
26 Apr
Sevilla C
1 : 1 Dos Hermanas
19 Apr
Cadiz B
0 : 2 Sevilla C
12 Apr
Sevilla C
0 : 3 Ciudad de Lucena
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10 May
Sevilla C
0 : 0 Atletico Central
26 Apr
Sevilla C
1 : 1 Dos Hermanas
12 Apr
Sevilla C
0 : 3 Ciudad de Lucena
28 Mar
Sevilla C
0 : 0 Tomares UD
22 Mar
Sevilla C
0 : 2 Linense
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Castilleja CF
(Away) 06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2 Coria C.F.
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2 Castilleja CF
26 Apr
Castilleja CF
0 : 1 Cordoba B
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0 Castilleja CF
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1 Conil
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03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2 Castilleja CF
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0 Castilleja CF
02 Apr
Atletico Central
2 : 1 Castilleja CF
25 Mar
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
0 : 0 Castilleja CF
22 Mar
Dos Hermanas
5 : 1 Castilleja CF
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 69:25 | 73 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 69:39 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico Central | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 43:35 | 53 |
| 5 | AD Ceuta B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 38:38 | 52 |
| 6 | Linense | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 45:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Cadiz B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 8 | Conil | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:44 | 52 |
| 9 | Cordoba B | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44:44 | 44 |
| 10 | CD Utrera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | 44 |
| 11 | Pozoblanco | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:44 | 43 |
| 12 | Chiclana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | San Roque de Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36:43 | 40 |
| 15 | Tomares UD | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Sevilla C | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34:41 | 38 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:62 | 27 |
| 18 | Coria C.F. | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:59 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)