Sport Picks
Sevilla vs Atl. Madrid
Spain
LaLiga Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla 
Match Events
4'
4'
Baena A.
Assist: Lee Kang-In
26'
26'
Lookman A.
Assist: Barrios P.
33'
33'
Baena A.
Assist: Llorente M.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga game between Sevilla and Atl. Madrid finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sevilla haven't matched Atl. Madrid's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Atl. Madrid have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 18%
Atl. Madrid Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sevilla | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Atl. Madrid
1:3
Apr 11, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Atl. Madrid
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 LaLiga
Atl. Madrid vs Sevilla
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Atl. Madrid
1:2
Dec 8, 2024 LaLiga
Atl. Madrid vs Sevilla
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sevilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Sierra M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Atl. Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Baena A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lookman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sevilla 32 / 100
Atl. Madrid 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sevilla Atl. Madrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Madrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sevilla scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Solid form: Sevilla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sevilla VS Atl. Madrid
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sevilla
(Home) 19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3 Barcelona
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1 Sevilla
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0 Valencia
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1 Sevilla
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3 Barcelona
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0 Valencia
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3 Atl. Madrid
15 Aug
Sevilla
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1 AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Madrid
(Away) 20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1 Real Madrid
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0 Osasuna
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Real Sociedad
0 : 3 Atl. Madrid
09 Sept
Liverpool
2 : 1 Atl. Madrid
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3 Atl. Madrid
14 Aug
Marseille
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
