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Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sevilla host Rayo Vallecano in the LaLiga. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Rayo Vallecano have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Sevilla have conceded 0.75 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Sevilla slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.94, favoring Sevilla. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sevilla
33%
Draws
27%
Rayo Vallecano
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sevilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rayo Vallecano come out ahead of Sevilla on wins alone.
  • Sevilla are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 68%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla Rayo Vallecano
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano
1:0
Feb 5, 2024 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla 50 / 100
Rayo Vallecano 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla Rayo Vallecano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sevilla found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Rayo Vallecano conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sevilla stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla VS Rayo Vallecano
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla

(Home)
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1
AD Ceuta
23 Jul
Cordoba
0 : 1
Sevilla
19 Jul
Cracovia
1 : 0
Sevilla
11 Jul
Sevilla
1 : 0
Torremolinos
23 May
Celta Vigo
1 : 0
Sevilla
Page 1 of 6

Rayo Vallecano

(Away)
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
17 Jul
Hearts
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
27 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 0
Rayo Vallecano
23 May
Alaves
1 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
17 May
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 0
Villarreal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Sociedad00000:00
2Elche00000:00
3Alaves00000:00
4Celta Vigo00000:00
5Malaga00000:00
6Rayo Vallecano00000:00
7Real Madrid00000:00
8Villarreal00000:00
9Barcelona00000:00
10Atl. Madrid00000:00
11Sevilla00000:00
12Racing Santander00000:00
13Dep. A Coruna00000:00
14Valencia00000:00
15Ath Bilbao00000:00
16Espanyol00000:00
17Betis00000:00
18Getafe00000:00
19Osasuna00000:00
20Levante00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)