Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sevilla vs Valencia

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Gaya J. In: Vazquez J.
Out: Gaya J.
28'
Agoume L.
37'
Sub
Azpilicueta C. In: Adams A.
Out: Azpilicueta C.

AI Match Summary

Valencia in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valencia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Sevilla
20%
Draws
7%
Valencia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sevilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sevilla lately — more wins on the board than Valencia.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Sevilla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla Valencia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Valencia
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Valencia
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Sevilla
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Sevilla
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Valencia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Valencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Duro H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramazani L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla 95 / 100
Valencia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla Valencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sevilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sevilla scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Valencia has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Sevilla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla VS Valencia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla

(Home)
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3
Atl. Madrid
22 Aug
Ath Bilbao
1 : 3
Sevilla
15 Aug
Sevilla
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
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Valencia

(Away)
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
30 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1
Valencia
25 Aug
Valencia
0 : 1
Betis
22 Aug
Valencia
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77:35 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 72
4 Atl. Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 69
5 Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41:44 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 46
12 Ath Bilbao 38 13 6 19 43:58 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46:60 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 44:56 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 47:61 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26:60 29
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)