Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sevilla vs Valencia

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Gaya J. In: Vazquez J.
Out: Gaya J.
28'
Agoume L.
37'
Sub
Azpilicueta C. In: Adams A.
Out: Azpilicueta C.

AI Match Summary

Valencia in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valencia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sevilla
28%
Draws
50%
Valencia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Valencia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Valencia lately — more wins on the board than Sevilla.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Valencia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 16%
Valencia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla Valencia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Valencia
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Sevilla
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Sevilla
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Valencia
1:1
Feb 17, 2024 LaLiga
Valencia vs Sevilla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevilla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Valencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Duro H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramazani L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla 23 / 100
Valencia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla Valencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sevilla scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Valencia has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Sevilla has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla VS Valencia
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla

(Home)
19 Jul
Cracovia
1 : 0
Sevilla
11 Jul
Sevilla
1 : 0
Torremolinos
23 May
Celta Vigo
1 : 0
Sevilla
17 May
Sevilla
0 : 1
Real Madrid
13 May
Villarreal
2 : 3
Sevilla
Page 1 of 6

Valencia

(Away)
22 Jul
Valencia
3 : 0
Eldense
18 Jul
Petro Atletico
3 : 1
Valencia
23 May
Valencia
3 : 1
Barcelona
17 May
Real Sociedad
3 : 4
Valencia
14 May
Valencia
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona38311695:3694
2Real Madrid38275677:3586
3Villarreal382261072:4672
4Atl. Madrid382161162:4469
5Betis381515859:4860
6Celta Vigo3814121253:4854
7Getafe381561732:3851
8Rayo Vallecano3812141241:4450
9Valencia3813101546:5549
10Real Sociedad3811131459:6146
11Espanyol3812101643:5546
12Ath Bilbao381361943:5845
13Sevilla381271946:6043
14Alaves3811101744:5643
15Elche3810131549:5743
16Levante381191847:6142
17Osasuna381191844:5042
18Mallorca381191847:5742
19Girona389141539:5541
20Real Oviedo386112126:6029
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)