Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sevilla vs Valencia

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Tarrega C. In: Cordoba I.
Out: Tarrega C.
27'
Sato R.
62'
Sub
Martinez A. In: Maffeo P.
Out: Martinez A.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga game between Sevilla and Valencia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sevilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Sevilla
20%
Draws
7%
Valencia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sevilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Sevilla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Sevilla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla Valencia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Valencia
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Valencia
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Sevilla
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Sevilla
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Valencia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Iglesias J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Valencia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla 95 / 100
Valencia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla Valencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sevilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sevilla scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Valencia let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sevilla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla VS Valencia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla

(Home)
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3
Atl. Madrid
22 Aug
Ath Bilbao
1 : 3
Sevilla
15 Aug
Sevilla
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
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Valencia

(Away)
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Valencia
0 : 5
Barcelona
30 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1
Valencia
25 Aug
Valencia
0 : 1
Betis
22 Aug
Valencia
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 6 6 0 0 28:6 18
2 Real Madrid 6 5 0 1 17:6 15
3 Betis 6 5 0 1 8:6 15
4 Atl. Madrid 6 4 1 1 14:6 13
5 Sevilla 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
6 Alaves 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
7 Dep. A Coruna 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
8 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
10 Racing Santander 6 2 1 3 11:16 7
11 Rayo Vallecano 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
12 Real Sociedad 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
13 Osasuna 6 2 1 3 5:12 7
14 Villarreal 6 1 2 3 10:11 5
15 Levante 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
16 Getafe 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
17 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
18 Celta Vigo 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
19 Valencia 6 1 1 4 2:10 4
20 Malaga 6 0 3 3 3:11 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)