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Sevilla vs Valencia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Tarrega C. In: Cordoba I.
Out: Tarrega C.
27'
Sato R.
62'
Sub
Martinez A. In: Maffeo P.
Out: Martinez A.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga game between Sevilla and Valencia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sevilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sevilla
30%
Draws
29%
Valencia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sevilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sevilla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sevilla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 18%
Valencia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla Valencia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Valencia
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Valencia
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Sevilla
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 LaLiga
Valencia vs Sevilla
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Valencia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Iglesias J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Valencia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla 41 / 100
Valencia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla Valencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sevilla scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Valencia let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sevilla stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla VS Valencia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla

(Home)
01 Nov
Getafe
3 : 1
Sevilla
29 Oct
Hortaleza
0 : 3
Sevilla
26 Oct
Sevilla
2 : 0
Osasuna
18 Oct
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Sevilla
12 Oct
Levante
3 : 3
Sevilla
Page 1 of 6

Valencia

(Away)
01 Nov
Elche
0 : 1
Valencia
24 Oct
Valencia
1 : 2
Villarreal
17 Oct
Valencia
0 : 0
Ath Bilbao
11 Oct
Racing Santander
2 : 2
Valencia
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 11 10 0 1 46:12 30
2 Atl. Madrid 11 9 1 1 22:8 28
3 Real Madrid 11 9 0 2 28:10 27
4 Betis 11 7 2 2 18:15 23
5 Real Sociedad 11 6 1 4 20:20 19
6 Sevilla 11 5 2 4 17:19 17
7 Ath Bilbao 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
8 Dep. A Coruna 11 3 5 3 15:14 14
9 Villarreal 11 3 3 5 15:15 12
10 Celta Vigo 11 2 6 3 10:10 12
11 Alaves 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 Rayo Vallecano 10 3 3 4 15:20 12
13 Getafe 11 3 3 5 8:16 12
14 Espanyol 11 3 2 6 13:14 11
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 11:22 11
16 Racing Santander 11 3 2 6 15:29 11
17 Elche 11 2 4 5 14:18 10
18 Levante 11 2 4 5 16:21 10
19 Valencia 11 2 3 6 8:17 9
20 Malaga 11 0 5 6 8:21 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)