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Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Estadio Jesus Navas, Sevilla
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Cortes M.
52' Event
Redondo A.
Assist: Navarro E.
54'
Sub
Cortes M. In: Gili Giner G.
Out: Cortes M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women 2025/2026 game between Sevilla W and Real Madrid W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sevilla W
20%
Draws
52%
Real Madrid W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Madrid W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid W come out ahead of Sevilla W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Real Madrid W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Real Madrid W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sevilla W Clean Sheet 14%
Real Madrid W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla W Real Madrid W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 22
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Real Madrid W vs Sevilla W
2:4
May 2, 2026 Liga F Women
Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W
0:2
Jan 10, 2026 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Sevilla W
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Liga F Women
Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W
0:4
Dec 7, 2024 Liga F Women
Real Madrid W vs Sevilla W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevilla W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Real Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Redondo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Feller N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla W 11 / 100
Real Madrid W 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla W Real Madrid W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sevilla W scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Real Madrid W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Sevilla W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla W VS Real Madrid W
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla W

(Home)
27 Sept
Sevilla W
0 : 1
Eibar W
20 Sept
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
1 : 3
Sevilla W
12 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Sevilla W
05 Sept
Sevilla W
0 : 4
Barcelona W
29 Aug
Dep. A Coruna W
0 : 1
Sevilla W
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid W

(Away)
01 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1
Real Madrid W
26 Sept
Real Sociedad W
3 : 5
Real Madrid W
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
11 Sept
Dep. A Coruna W
0 : 2
Real Madrid W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 30 29 0 1 130:9 87
2 Real Madrid W 30 23 3 4 65:18 72
3 Real Sociedad W 30 20 6 4 61:27 66
4 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 30 14 12 4 49:22 54
5 Atl. Madrid W 30 14 9 7 63:39 51
6 Granada CF W 30 13 6 11 36:42 45
7 Athletic Bilbao W 30 12 8 10 35:44 44
8 Sevilla W 30 12 5 13 33:46 41
9 Badalona W 30 10 9 11 28:46 39
10 Madrid CFF W 30 11 4 15 41:59 37
11 Espanyol W 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
12 Dep. A Coruna W 30 8 7 15 34:54 31
13 Eibar W 30 8 4 18 18:47 28
14 Logrono W 30 4 9 17 29:54 21
15 Alhama W 30 3 5 22 23:78 14
16 Levante W 30 2 3 25 18:62 9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women (Main)