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Sevlievo vs Botev Lukovit Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2017/2018 Rakovski Stadium, Sevlievo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sevlievo in this Third League - North-West 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sevlievo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sevlievo
20%
Draws
22%
Botev Lukovit
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sevlievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sevlievo have won more games recently than Botev Lukovit.
  • Model gives Sevlievo a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sevlievo Clean Sheet 19%
Botev Lukovit Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevlievo Botev Lukovit
Matches Played 39 34
Wins 19 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.44 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2019 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Sevlievo
1:1
Aug 19, 2018 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Botev Lukovit
1:1
Apr 22, 2018 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Botev Lukovit
3:2
Sep 24, 2017 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Sevlievo
4:0
May 8, 2016 Third League - North-West
Botev Lukovit vs Sevlievo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevlievo 85 / 100
Botev Lukovit 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevlievo Botev Lukovit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sevlievo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sevlievo scored in 72% of their last 39 games.

Botev Lukovit's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Solid form: Sevlievo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sevlievo VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevlievo

(Home)
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
12 Sept
Sevlievo
2 : 0
OFK Levski
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2
Spartak Pleven II
22 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
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Botev Lukovit

(Away)
02 Jun
Parva Atomna
5 : 0
Botev Lukovit
24 May
Botev Lukovit
1 : 2
Partizan Cerven Brjag
19 May
Lokomotiv Dryanovo
3 : 0
Botev Lukovit
12 May
Botev Lukovit
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven
05 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
4 : 2
Botev Lukovit
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kariana Erden 30 25 5 0 100:19 80
2 Sevlievo 30 20 4 6 60:27 64
3 Vihar Slavyanovo 30 17 7 6 68:32 58
4 Bdin Vidin 30 16 5 9 57:33 53
5 Parva Atomna 30 15 7 8 45:29 52
6 OFK Levski 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 Yantra Gabrovo 30 13 4 13 60:39 43
8 Spartak Pleven 30 10 9 11 39:46 39
9 Akademik Svishtov 30 9 10 11 45:46 37
10 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 11 4 15 34:50 37
11 Tryavna 30 10 6 14 33:47 36
12 Pavlikeni 30 10 2 18 34:62 32
13 Botev Lukovit 30 9 3 18 37:64 30
14 Yantra Polski Trambesh 30 7 5 18 37:61 26
15 Yantra 2019 30 7 2 21 26:71 23
16 Mizia Knezha 30 6 4 20 24:75 22
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)