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Sevlievo vs Partizan Cerven Brjag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West Rakovski Stadium, Sevlievo
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sevlievo host Partizan Cerven Brjag in the Third League - North-West. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Partizan Cerven Brjag have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Sevlievo have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Sevlievo have won 5 to Partizan Cerven Brjag's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 24, 2025, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.63, favoring Sevlievo. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sevlievo
35%
Draws
25%
Partizan Cerven Brjag
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sevlievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Partizan Cerven Brjag come out ahead of Sevlievo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sevlievo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sevlievo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Sevlievo Clean Sheet 14%
Partizan Cerven Brjag Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevlievo Partizan Cerven Brjag
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
4:1
Nov 30, 2024 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Sevlievo
1:2
May 25, 2024 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Sevlievo
0:6
Nov 11, 2023 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
4:0
May 20, 2023 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevlievo 66 / 100
Partizan Cerven Brjag 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevlievo Partizan Cerven Brjag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sevlievo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Sevlievo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Sevlievo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Partizan Cerven Brjag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sevlievo VS Partizan Cerven Brjag
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevlievo

(Home)
10 Oct
Kom Berkovitsa
0 : 0
Sevlievo
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
12 Sept
Sevlievo
2 : 0
OFK Levski
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2
Spartak Pleven II
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Partizan Cerven Brjag

(Away)
17 Oct
OFK Levski
4 : 0
Partizan Cerven Brjag
10 Oct
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 0
Pavlikeni
04 Oct
Spartak Pleven II
1 : 0
Partizan Cerven Brjag
26 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
19 Sept
Yantra Polski Trambesh
2 : 2
Partizan Cerven Brjag
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 7 5 2 0 15:5 17
2 Kom Berkovitsa 8 3 4 1 16:13 13
3 Lokomotiv Mezdra 6 2 4 0 11:6 10
4 Yantra Polski Trambesh 7 2 4 1 17:15 10
5 Sevlievo 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
6 Bdin Vidin 7 3 0 4 14:16 9
7 Partizan Cerven Brjag 7 2 3 2 7:9 9
8 OFK Levski 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
9 Chavdar Troyan 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
10 Pavlikeni 8 2 0 6 7:13 6
11 Spartak Pleven II 8 1 3 4 15:27 6
12 Etar II 6 1 1 4 14:14 4
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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