Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Vtora liga Rakovski Stadium

Spartak Pleven

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sevlievo play Spartak Pleven in the Vtora liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sevlievo averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Spartak Pleven averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Sevlievo won 3, Spartak Pleven won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 9, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Sevlievo and 2.19 for Spartak Pleven. This points to a Spartak Pleven double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Sevlievo

15%

Draws

46%

Spartak Pleven

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Pleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Sevlievo picked up more points recently compared to Spartak Pleven.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Sevlievo Clean Sheet 10%

Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sevlievo	Spartak Pleven
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	9	10
Draws	3	5
Losses	18	12
Goals Scored	0.93	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.48
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Vtora liga

Sevlievo vs Spartak Pleven

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Feb 5, 2026 Club Friendly

Sevlievo vs Spartak Pleven

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Oct 4, 2025 Vtora liga

Spartak Pleven vs Sevlievo

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly

Spartak Pleven vs Sevlievo

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

May 28, 2022 Third League - North-West

Spartak Pleven vs Sevlievo

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevlievo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Spartak Pleven Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozhuharov A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Adelani S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevlievo 37 / 100

Spartak Pleven 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sevlievo Spartak Pleven

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spartak Pleven or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sevlievo attacking → ← attacking Spartak Pleven

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sevlievo scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Spartak Pleven let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sevlievo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Pleven lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 35

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dunav Ruse	32	20	9	3	53:16	69
2	Yantra Gabrovo	32	18	10	4	45:24	64
3	Fratria	32	18	9	5	61:29	63
4	Vihren	32	17	7	8	59:34	58
5	CSKA Sofia II	32	16	7	9	57:32	55
6	Chernomorets 1919	32	11	13	8	38:32	46
7	Etar	32	11	11	10	39:43	44
8	Ludogorets II	32	11	8	13	41:43	41
9	Marek	32	10	11	11	27:35	41
10	Hebar	32	11	7	14	41:51	40
11	Pirin Blagoevgrad	32	9	11	12	38:41	38
12	Spartak Pleven	32	9	8	15	37:45	35
13	Svoge	32	9	7	16	28:48	34
14	Gorna	32	8	9	15	33:52	33
15	Sevlievo	32	9	5	18	29:52	32
16	Minyor Pernik	32	7	9	16	32:45	30
17	Belasitsa Petrich	32	4	7	21	26:62	19