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World

World Championship 2026 Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan

Seychelles

0 - 5

Kenya

Our Tip

Match Events

Olunga M.

36'

Monay H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kenya in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kenya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%

Seychelles

20%

Draws

70%

Kenya

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kenya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Kenya lately — more wins on the board than Seychelles.
Win probability leans Kenya's way, sitting at 90%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Kenya have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%

Seychelles Clean Sheet 10%

Kenya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Seychelles	Kenya
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	1	12
Draws	5	7
Losses	24	10
Goals Scored	0.4	1.48
Goals Conceded	2.9	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	0.65	2.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship

Kenya vs Seychelles

5:0

Nov 20, 2023 World Championship

Seychelles vs Kenya

0:5

Mar 29, 2015 Friendly International

Seychelles vs Kenya

0:2

Nov 15, 2011 World Championship

Kenya vs Seychelles

4:0

Nov 11, 2011 World Championship

Seychelles vs Kenya

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seychelles Compare

Avg xG / game 0.5

Avg xA / game 0.33

Kenya Compare

Top Goalscorer Olunga M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Juma M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.35

Avg xA / game 1.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seychelles 10 / 100

Kenya 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Seychelles Kenya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:4

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Seychelles scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.

Kenya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Seychelles remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Seychelles VS Kenya

0.17 Goals Scored 1

4.17 Goals Conceded 1.13

83% Over 1.5 50%

83% Over 2.5 50%

67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Seychelles

(Home)

29 Mar

Lesotho

2 : 1

Seychelles

26 Mar

Seychelles

0 : 0

Lesotho

14 Oct

Seychelles

0 : 7

Gambia

10 Oct

Seychelles

0 : 7

Ivory Coast

09 Sept

Kenya

5 : 0

Seychelles

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Kenya

(Away)

07 Jun

Kenya

4 : 0

Lesotho

04 Jun

Lesotho

1 : 1

Kenya

30 Mar

Grenada

0 : 3

Kenya

27 Mar

Kenya

1 : 2

Estonia

18 Nov

Senegal

8 : 0

Kenya

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