Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Amri H.
46'
46'
Hassine A. B.
63'
63'
Amri H.
AI Match Summary
Sfax Railways in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sfax Railways.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
74%
20%
6%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sfax Railways
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Sfax Railways have won more games recently than Hamam-Sousse.
- Win probability leans Sfax Railways's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 68%
Hamam-Sousse Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sfax Railways | Hamam-Sousse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Ligue 2
Hamam-Sousse vs Sfax Railways
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Hamam-Sousse
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sfax Railways Compare
Top Goalscorer Amri H.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Hamam-Sousse Compare
Top Goalscorer Hassine A. B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sfax Railways 95 / 100
Hamam-Sousse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sfax Railways Hamam-Sousse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sfax Railways Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Sfax Railways remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Sfax Railways's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Hamam-Sousse has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sfax Railways VS Hamam-Sousse
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sfax Railways
(Home) 26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2 Sfax Railways
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Bousalem
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Bousalem
04 Apr
Sfax Railways
0 : 2 Sporting Ben Arous
28 Feb
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
16 Feb
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 3
Hamam-Sousse
(Away) 12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0 Monastir
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
29 Aug
Club Africain
1 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
11 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
27 Apr
Kerkennah
2 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
