Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sfax Railways vs Sporting Ben Arous

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Ben Zaghada M. A.
90' Event
Ben Aziza M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Sfax Railways and Sporting Ben Arous finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Ben Arous.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Sfax Railways
20%
Draws
19%
Sporting Ben Arous
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sfax Railways

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sfax Railways come out ahead of Sporting Ben Arous on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sfax Railways's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting Ben Arous Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sfax Railways Sporting Ben Arous
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Sporting Ben Arous
0:2
Nov 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs Sfax Railways
0:0
Mar 5, 2022 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs Sfax Railways
0:0
Dec 4, 2021 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs Sporting Ben Arous
0:0
Apr 3, 2021 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs Sfax Railways
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sfax Railways Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sporting Ben Arous Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Zaghada M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ben Aziza M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sfax Railways 50 / 100
Sporting Ben Arous 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sfax Railways Sporting Ben Arous

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sfax Railways Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sfax Railways has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sfax Railways scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Sporting Ben Arous's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Sporting Ben Arous lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sfax Railways VS Sporting Ben Arous
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sfax Railways

(Home)
26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2
Sfax Railways
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2
Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3
Sfax Railways
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0
Bousalem
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Ben Arous

(Away)
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2
EM Mahdia
11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0
Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
US Tataouine
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1
Megrine
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)