Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sfera U20 vs Ferroviaria U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Thiago M.
54' Event
Brazao C.
90' Event
Santana K.

AI Match Summary

Sfera U20 in this Paulista U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sfera U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sfera U20
30%
Draws
37%
Ferroviaria U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviaria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviaria U20 have won more games recently than Sfera U20.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Paulista U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sfera U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sfera U20 Ferroviaria U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.47 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Paulista U20
Sfera U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sfera U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brazao C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santana K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ferroviaria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sfera U20 32 / 100
Ferroviaria U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sfera U20 Ferroviaria U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sfera U20's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sfera U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ferroviaria U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sfera U20 VS Ferroviaria U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sfera U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Sfera U20
04 Sept
Sfera U20
5 : 2
Ituano U20
28 Aug
Sfera U20
1 : 1
Gremio Prudente U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
07 Aug
Sfera U20
2 : 1
XV de Jau U20
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviaria U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
5 : 0
Sao Bento U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
14 Aug
Ferroviaria U20
0 : 0
Uniao Suzano U20
08 Aug
Corinthians U20
4 : 0
Ferroviaria U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 15 12 1 2 61:11 37
2 Bragantino U20 15 11 2 2 36:11 35
3 Sao Paulo U20 15 11 2 2 36:13 35
4 Guarani U20 15 11 1 3 28:13 34
5 EC Sao Bernardo U20 15 11 0 4 33:13 33
6 Novorizontino U20 15 10 3 2 36:16 33
7 Portuguesa U20 15 9 4 2 33:15 31
8 Ituano U20 15 9 3 3 37:12 30
9 Ibrachina U20 15 9 3 3 31:15 30
10 Ferroviaria U20 15 9 2 4 29:18 29
11 Santos U20 15 9 2 4 29:19 29
12 CA Juventus U20 15 9 2 4 15:10 29
13 Corinthians U20 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
14 Uniao Suzano U20 15 9 2 4 23:19 29
15 Ponte Preta U20 15 9 1 5 33:19 28
16 Santo Andre U20 15 8 1 6 26:26 25
17 Osasco Sporting U20 15 7 4 4 22:17 25
18 Capivariano U20 15 7 3 5 23:15 24
19 XV de Jau U20 15 7 1 7 26:23 22
20 Piracicaba U20 15 7 1 7 19:18 22
21 Gremio Prudente U20 15 6 4 5 21:15 22
22 Portuguesa Santista U20 15 6 4 5 19:21 22
23 Mirassol U20 15 6 3 6 21:13 21
24 Osasco Audax U20 15 6 3 6 27:25 21
25 Sao Caetano U20 15 6 3 6 20:23 21
26 Referencia U20 15 5 6 4 25:26 21
27 Botafogo SP U20 15 6 2 7 25:21 20
28 Internacional de Limeira U20 15 6 2 7 20:19 20
29 Desportivo U20 15 5 3 7 22:25 18
30 Maua FC U20 15 5 3 7 13:17 18
31 CA Bandeirante U20 15 5 3 7 18:25 18
32 Itapirense U20 15 5 3 7 18:26 18
33 Sertaozinho U20 15 5 2 8 14:17 17
34 Tanabi U20 15 4 4 7 19:24 16
35 Agua Santa U20 15 4 4 7 20:28 16
36 Velo Clube U20 15 4 4 7 16:26 16
37 Sao Bento U20 15 4 3 8 17:29 15
38 Aguai U20 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
39 Jabaquara U20 15 4 3 8 16:30 15
40 Sfera U20 15 4 2 9 15:23 14
41 Flamengo SP U20 15 4 2 9 15:32 14
42 AC Guaratingueta U20 15 3 2 10 12:35 11
43 Uniao Sao Joao U20 15 3 1 11 13:33 10
44 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 15 3 0 12 20:36 9
45 Taubate U20 15 2 2 11 10:33 8
46 Sao Jose EC U20 15 1 3 11 14:40 6
47 Aracatuba FC U20 15 1 3 11 14:48 6
48 Rio Claro U20 15 1 1 13 8:46 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Sao Bernardo U20 15 11 0 4 33:13 33
2 Novorizontino U20 15 10 3 2 36:16 33
3 Ferroviaria U20 15 9 2 4 29:18 29
4 Santos U20 15 9 2 4 29:19 29
5 CA Juventus U20 15 9 2 4 15:10 29
6 Ponte Preta U20 15 9 1 5 33:19 28
7 Mirassol U20 15 6 3 6 21:13 21
8 Osasco Audax U20 15 6 3 6 27:25 21
9 Sao Caetano U20 15 6 3 6 20:23 21
10 Internacional de Limeira U20 15 6 2 7 20:19 20
11 Itapirense U20 15 5 3 7 18:26 18
12 Velo Clube U20 15 4 4 7 16:26 16
13 Aguai U20 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
14 Sfera U20 15 4 2 9 15:23 14
15 Taubate U20 15 2 2 11 10:33 8
16 Sao Jose EC U20 15 1 3 11 14:40 6
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 15 12 1 2 61:11 37
2 Bragantino U20 15 11 2 2 36:11 35
3 Portuguesa U20 15 9 4 2 33:15 31
4 Ituano U20 15 9 3 3 37:12 30
5 Corinthians U20 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
6 Uniao Suzano U20 15 9 2 4 23:19 29
7 Santo Andre U20 15 8 1 6 26:26 25
8 Referencia U20 15 5 6 4 25:26 21
9 Botafogo SP U20 15 6 2 7 25:21 20
10 Sertaozinho U20 15 5 2 8 14:17 17
11 Agua Santa U20 15 4 4 7 20:28 16
12 Sao Bento U20 15 4 3 8 17:29 15
13 Jabaquara U20 15 4 3 8 16:30 15
14 Uniao Sao Joao U20 15 3 1 11 13:33 10
15 Aracatuba FC U20 15 1 3 11 14:48 6
16 Rio Claro U20 15 1 1 13 8:46 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 15 11 2 2 36:13 35
2 Guarani U20 15 11 1 3 28:13 34
3 Ibrachina U20 15 9 3 3 31:15 30
4 Osasco Sporting U20 15 7 4 4 22:17 25
5 Capivariano U20 15 7 3 5 23:15 24
6 XV de Jau U20 15 7 1 7 26:23 22
7 Piracicaba U20 15 7 1 7 19:18 22
8 Gremio Prudente U20 15 6 4 5 21:15 22
9 Portuguesa Santista U20 15 6 4 5 19:21 22
10 Desportivo U20 15 5 3 7 22:25 18
11 Maua FC U20 15 5 3 7 13:17 18
12 CA Bandeirante U20 15 5 3 7 18:25 18
13 Tanabi U20 15 4 4 7 19:24 16
14 Flamengo SP U20 15 4 2 9 15:32 14
15 AC Guaratingueta U20 15 3 2 10 12:35 11
16 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 15 3 0 12 20:36 9
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)