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SGS Essen W vs Bayern Munich W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Stadion Essen
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Harder P.
Assist: Gwinn G.
8'
Meissner J.
9' Event
Dallmann L.
Assist: Gilles V.

AI Match Summary

SGS Essen W host Bayern Munich W in the Bundesliga Women 2025/2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: SGS Essen W at 0.75 goals for, 3.25 against; Bayern Munich W at 2.88 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Bayern Munich W slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 3.06) point toward Bayern Munich W. Bayern Munich W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SGS Essen W
6%
Draws
90%
Bayern Munich W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayern Munich W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bayern Munich W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SGS Essen W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Bayern Munich W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
SGS Essen W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SGS Essen W Bayern Munich W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 32
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 1
Goals Scored 0.75 2.88
Goals Conceded 3.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 DFB Pokal Women
Bayern Munich W vs SGS Essen W
4:0
Mar 20, 2026 Bundesliga Women
SGS Essen W vs Bayern Munich W
0:5
Nov 1, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs SGS Essen W
4:1
May 11, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs SGS Essen W
3:0
Dec 7, 2024 Bundesliga Women
SGS Essen W vs Bayern Munich W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SGS Essen W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Bayern Munich W Compare

Top Goalscorer Harder P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dallmann L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SGS Essen W 10 / 100
Bayern Munich W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SGS Essen W Bayern Munich W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SGS Essen W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Bayern Munich W let in goals in 39% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

SGS Essen W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bayern Munich W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SGS Essen W VS Bayern Munich W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich W26242090:974
2Wolfsburg W26184472:3858
3Eintracht Frankfurt W26163765:4351
4Hoffenheim W26144848:3046
5Bayer Leverkusen W261511046:3646
6Werder Bremen W26127742:3643
7Koln W261141136:3737
8Freiburg W261041244:4634
9Union Berlin W26861242:5130
10RB Leipzig W26771239:4828
111.FC Nurnberg W26641633:6122
12Hamburger W26461626:5718
13SGS Essen W26371622:6316
14Carl Zeiss Jena W26251922:7211