Sport Picks

Germany

Bundesliga Women 2023/2024 Stadion Essen

Duisburg W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SGS Essen W play Duisburg W in the Bundesliga Women 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, SGS Essen W averaged 1.16 goals scored and 2 conceded. Duisburg W averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. In past meetings, SGS Essen W won 4, Duisburg W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 8, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for SGS Essen W and 1.19 for Duisburg W. This points to a SGS Essen W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

SGS Essen W

20%

Draws

25%

Duisburg W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SGS Essen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

SGS Essen W picked up more points recently compared to Duisburg W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

SGS Essen W Clean Sheet 20%

Duisburg W Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SGS Essen W	Duisburg W
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	8	5
Draws	8	4
Losses	16	21
Goals Scored	1.16	1.37
Goals Conceded	2	2.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2024 Bundesliga Women

SGS Essen W vs Duisburg W

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Oct 16, 2023 Bundesliga Women

Duisburg W vs SGS Essen W

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

May 21, 2023 Bundesliga Women

SGS Essen W vs Duisburg W

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Dec 11, 2022 Bundesliga Women

Duisburg W vs SGS Essen W

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

0:6

Jan 29, 2022 Club Friendly Women

SGS Essen W vs Duisburg W

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SGS Essen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sterner B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Maier R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Duisburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Muth N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SGS Essen W 54 / 100

Duisburg W 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SGS Essen W Duisburg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SGS Essen W Win (1)

Secondary Pick SGS Essen W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SGS Essen W attacking → ← attacking Duisburg W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SGS Essen W scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Duisburg W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

SGS Essen W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Duisburg W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 19

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich W	22	19	3	0	60:8	60
2	Wolfsburg W	22	17	2	3	67:19	53
3	Eintracht Frankfurt W	22	14	2	6	42:25	44
4	SGS Essen W	22	10	5	7	33:26	35
5	Hoffenheim W	22	10	4	8	43:35	34
6	Bayer Leverkusen W	22	8	7	7	34:25	31
7	Werder Bremen W	22	8	4	10	34:31	28
8	RB Leipzig W	22	7	5	10	26:41	26
9	Freiburg W	22	6	6	10	26:44	24
10	Koln W	22	5	3	14	25:43	18
11	1.FC Nurnberg W	22	4	3	15	16:61	15
12	Duisburg W	22	0	4	18	16:64	4