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Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Dhafra

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai host Al Dhafra in the UAE League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Al Dhafra have shipped 1.71 goals a game lately, while Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai have won 4 to Al Dhafra's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 0:5. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
11%
Draws
9%
Al Dhafra
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai lately — more wins on the board than Al Dhafra.
  • Win probability leans Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular UAE League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 20%
Al Dhafra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Al Dhafra
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.88 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:5
Aug 16, 2025 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Dhafra
2:0
Feb 14, 2023 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Dhafra
2:0
Oct 2, 2022 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
3:2
May 17, 2022 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 76 / 100
Al Dhafra 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Al Dhafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Dhafra let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai VS Al Dhafra
1.88 Goals Scored 0.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

(Home)
13 Jul
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
16 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Bataeh
10 May
Bani Yas
2 : 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
06 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2 : 1
Al Nasr
29 Apr
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
3 : 3
Khorfakkan
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Al Dhafra

(Away)
19 Jul
Goztepe
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
16 May
Al Dhafra
1 : 0
Al Wahda
10 May
Al Ain
5 : 0
Al Dhafra
05 May
Bani Yas
2 : 2
Al Dhafra
24 Apr
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Ajman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Jazira00000:00
2Al Wahda00000:00
3Al Sharjah00000:00
4Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai00000:00
5Al Ain00000:00
6Ajman00000:00
7Al Dhafra00000:00
8Khorfakkan00000:00
9Al Nasr00000:00
10Al Wasl00000:00
11Bani Yas00000:00
12Ittihad Kalba00000:00
13Hatta00000:00
14United FC00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)