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Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Dhafra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Mateus Henrique
32'
Sub
Al Houti E. In: Al Sayed A.
Out: Al Houti E.
33'
Seifi M.

AI Match Summary

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai in this UAE League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
30%
Draws
18%
Al Dhafra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai lately — more wins on the board than Al Dhafra.
  • Win probability leans Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular UAE League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shabab Al Ahli Dubai here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 20%
Al Dhafra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Al Dhafra
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 1.93 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Dhafra
2:0
Feb 20, 2026 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0:5
Aug 16, 2025 UAE League
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Dhafra
2:0
Feb 14, 2023 UAE League
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Dhafra
2:0
Oct 2, 2022 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri Cesar
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Al Dhafra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 85 / 100
Al Dhafra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Al Dhafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Al Dhafra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai VS Al Dhafra
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

(Home)
08 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1
United FC
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
19 Sept
Hatta
2 : 2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
14 Sept
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 0
Tractor
10 Sept
United FC
1 : 1
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 6

Al Dhafra

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Wahda
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
01 Oct
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Hatta
1 : 2
Al Dhafra
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 Al Ain 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
3 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
4 Al Wasl 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
5 Ajman 5 3 0 2 11:12 9
6 Al Wahda 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
7 Al Sharjah 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
8 United FC 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
9 Al Nasr 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
10 Ittihad Kalba 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
11 Khorfakkan 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
12 Al Dhafra 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
13 Hatta 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
14 Bani Yas 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)