Sport Picks
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
United Arab Emirates
League Cup Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai 
Match Events
11'
11'
Hrustic A.
Assist: Agudelo K.
40'
40'
Irala E.
46'
46'
Sub
Rikelme In: Kauan Santos
Out: Rikelme
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Nasr haven't matched Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 20%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Al Nasr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2026 League Cup
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr
1:1
May 6, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 League Cup
Al Nasr vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
4:2
Nov 16, 2025 League Cup
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Compare
Top Goalscorer Mateusao
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Al Nasr Compare
Top Goalscorer Hrustic A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 31 / 100
Al Nasr 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Al Nasr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Al Nasr has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai VS Al Nasr
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
(Home) 08 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 United FC
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1 Al Nasr
19 Sept
Hatta
2 : 2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
14 Sept
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 0 Tractor
10 Sept
United FC
1 : 1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 United FC
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1 Al Nasr
14 Sept
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 0 Tractor
05 Sept
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 3 Al Jazira
22 Aug
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 0 Al Dhafra
Page 1 of 3
Al Nasr
(Away) 08 Oct
Al Nasr
4 : 1 Hatta
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1 Al Nasr
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1 United FC
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1 Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2 Ajman
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1 Al Nasr
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1 Al Nasr
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1 Al Nasr
26 Jul
Al Shabab
1 : 0 Al Nasr
20 Jul
Al Sailiya
0 : 4 Al Nasr
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Wasl | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ajman | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Al Nasr | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Al Jazira | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 5 | Bani Yas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 7 | Al Sharjah | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 8 | Ittihad Kalba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Al Wahda | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 10 | United FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Ain | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 1 |
| 12 | Hatta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 13 | Khorfakkan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 14 | Al Dhafra | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
