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Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ittihad Kalba

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Al Mansouri M.
46'
Sub
Al Mansouri M. In: Cartabia F.
Out: Al Mansouri M.
46' Event
Kauan Santos
Assist: Yuri Cesar

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai and Ittihad Kalba finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
28%
Draws
22%
Ittihad Kalba
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ittihad Kalba haven't matched Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 68%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Ittihad Kalba
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ittihad Kalba
5:1
Oct 17, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:0
Apr 11, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:2
Nov 22, 2024 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ittihad Kalba
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ittihad Kalba
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri Cesar
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Mansouri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ittihad Kalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 59 / 100
Ittihad Kalba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Ittihad Kalba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ittihad Kalba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai VS Ittihad Kalba
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

(Home)
28 Jul
Udinese
1 : 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
13 Jul
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
16 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Bataeh
10 May
Bani Yas
2 : 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
06 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2 : 1
Al Nasr
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Ittihad Kalba

(Away)
15 May
Al Wasl
2 : 1
Ittihad Kalba
11 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1
Ittihad Kalba
05 May
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 0
Khorfakkan
23 Apr
Ittihad Kalba
1 : 2
Bani Yas
09 Apr
Al Wahda
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)