Sport Picks
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ittihad Kalba Prediction & H2H Stats
United Arab Emirates
UAE League 2025/2026 Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai 
Match Events
36'
36'
Al Mansouri M.
46'
46'
Sub
Al Mansouri M. In: Cartabia F.
Out: Al Mansouri M.
46'
46'
Kauan Santos
Assist: Yuri Cesar
AI Match Summary
The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai and Ittihad Kalba finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ittihad Kalba haven't matched Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 68%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | Ittihad Kalba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 2.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ittihad Kalba
5:1
Oct 17, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:0
Apr 11, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:2
Nov 22, 2024 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ittihad Kalba
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ittihad Kalba
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare
Top Goalscorer Yuri Cesar
2 Goals Assists Leader Al Mansouri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Ittihad Kalba Compare
Top Goalscorer Rivas R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 50 / 100
Ittihad Kalba 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Ittihad Kalba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ittihad Kalba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai VS Ittihad Kalba
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
(Home) 19 Sept
Hatta
2 : 2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
14 Sept
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 0 Tractor
10 Sept
United FC
1 : 1 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
05 Sept
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 3 Al Jazira
28 Aug
Al Wasl
0 : 1 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 0 Tractor
05 Sept
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 3 Al Jazira
22 Aug
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2 : 0 Al Dhafra
16 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 1 Al Bataeh
06 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 Al Nasr
Page 1 of 3
Ittihad Kalba
(Away) 19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1 Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3 Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2 Al Ain
28 Aug
United FC
4 : 1 Ittihad Kalba
21 Aug
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 3 Al Wasl
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3 Ittihad Kalba
28 Aug
United FC
4 : 1 Ittihad Kalba
14 Aug
Al Nasr
2 : 2 Ittihad Kalba
15 May
Al Wasl
2 : 1 Ittihad Kalba
11 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1 Ittihad Kalba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 62:18 | 68 |
| 2 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 60:18 | 58 |
| 3 | Al Wasl | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 39:29 | 48 |
| 4 | Al Jazira | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 46:30 | 44 |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 38:26 | 40 |
| 6 | Al Nasr | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36:34 | 38 |
| 7 | Ajman | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 27:34 | 32 |
| 8 | Al Sharjah | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 9 | Khorfakkan | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 35:45 | 27 |
| 10 | Bani Yas | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 29:43 | 27 |
| 11 | Ittihad Kalba | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 29:45 | 24 |
| 12 | Al Dhafra | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28:52 | 22 |
| 13 | Al Bataeh | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 24:37 | 21 |
| 14 | Dibba Al Fujairah | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25:55 | 20 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
