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Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

Presidents Cup Al Rashid Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
Mateusao In: Al Ghassani Y.
Out: Mateusao
39'
Pavlov P.
45' Event
Ezatolahi S.
Assist: Cartabia F.

AI Match Summary

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai in this Presidents Cup matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
30%
Draws
34%
Khorfakkan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Khorfakkan haven't matched Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 20%
Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Khorfakkan
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan
3:3
Feb 1, 2026 Presidents Cup
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan
3:1
Nov 20, 2025 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Khorfakkan
4:0
Dec 8, 2024 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ezatolahi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Khorfakkan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali Shakir M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 36 / 100
Khorfakkan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Khorfakkan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Khorfakkan conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai VS Khorfakkan
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Al Wahda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Dhafra-
Al Sharjah-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dibba Al Hisn2
Al Jazira Hamra0
Al Arabi (UAE)4
Al Fujairah2
United FC2
Al-Ittifaq0
Al Thaid2
Gulf United1
Dibba Al Fujairah-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Wasl-
Al Hamriyah-
TBD-
Hatta1
Dubai City0
Masfut0
Majd FC1
Al Urooba2
Emirates Club0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Ain-
Al Nasr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bani Yas-
Al Jazira-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajman-
Al Bataeh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai-
Khorfakkan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ittihad Kalba-
1/32-finals
Al Wahda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Dhafra-
Al Sharjah-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dibba Al Hisn2
Al Arabi (UAE)0
United FC1
Al Thaid0
Dibba Al Fujairah-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Wasl-
Al Hamriyah1
Hatta0
Majd FC2
Al Urooba3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Ain-
Al Nasr-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bani Yas-
Al Jazira-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajman-
Al Bataeh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai-
Khorfakkan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ittihad Kalba-
1/16-finals
Al Wahda-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Dhafra-
Al Sharjah-
TBD-
Dibba Al Hisn1
United FC2
Dibba Al Fujairah-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Wasl-
Al Hamriyah3
Al Urooba0
TBD-
Al Ain-
Al Nasr-
TBD-
TBD-
Bani Yas-
Al Jazira-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajman-
Al Bataeh-
TBD-
TBD-
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai-
Khorfakkan-
TBD-
TBD-
Ittihad Kalba-
1/8-finals
Al Wahda3
Al Dhafra1
Al Sharjah1
United FC2
Dibba Al Fujairah3
Al Wasl2
Al Hamriyah0
Al Ain7
Al Nasr0
Bani Yas2
Al Jazira2
Ajman1
Al Bataeh0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai1
Khorfakkan2
Ittihad Kalba0
Quarter-finals
Al Wahda2
United FC4
Dibba Al Fujairah0
Al Ain3
Bani Yas1
Al Jazira2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Khorfakkan1
Semi-finals
Al Jazira1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai0
United FC0
Al Ain2
Final
Al Jazira1
Al Ain4