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Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs United FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

League Cup Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Al Mansouri M.
Assist: Markelo J.
22'
Seifi M.
40'
Renan V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
35%
Draws
20%
United FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai lately — more wins on the board than United FC.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Shabab Al Ahli Dubai taking it.
  • Shabab Al Ahli Dubai have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 16%
United FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al Ahli Dubai United FC
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.03 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 League Cup
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs United FC
2:1
Sep 10, 2026 UAE League
United FC vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mansouri M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Breno
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

United FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Maouhoub E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 66 / 100
United FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai United FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

United FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai VS United FC
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

(Home)
08 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1
United FC
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
19 Sept
Hatta
2 : 2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
14 Sept
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 0
Tractor
10 Sept
United FC
1 : 1
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Page 1 of 7

United FC

(Away)
08 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1
United FC
01 Oct
United FC
3 : 2
Hatta
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
10 Sept
United FC
1 : 1
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
05 Sept
Al Sharjah
4 : 3
United FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wasl 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Ajman 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
3 Al Nasr 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
4 Al Jazira 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
5 Bani Yas 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
7 Al Sharjah 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Ittihad Kalba 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
9 Al Wahda 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
10 United FC 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
11 Al Ain 3 0 1 2 6:8 1
12 Hatta 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
13 Khorfakkan 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
14 Al Dhafra 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
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