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Shabab Al Ghar vs Al Ittihad Misurata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shabab Al Ghar host Al Ittihad Misurata in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Shabab Al Ghar have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Al Ittihad Misurata's 1.11 scored and 0.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Shabab Al Ghar slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.63 - 1.31) back Al Ittihad Misurata to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Shabab Al Ghar
35%
Draws
32%
Al Ittihad Misurata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ittihad Misurata carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Shabab Al Ghar Clean Sheet 18%
Al Ittihad Misurata Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al Ghar Al Ittihad Misurata
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 13
Draws 13 14
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Misurata vs Shabab Al Ghar
2:0
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Shabab Al Ghar vs Al Ittihad Misurata
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al Ghar 36 / 100
Al Ittihad Misurata 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al Ghar Al Ittihad Misurata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Misurata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabab Al Ghar found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Ittihad Misurata has conceded goals in 67% of their last 36 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Al Ittihad Misurata lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al Ghar VS Al Ittihad Misurata
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Al Ghar

(Home)
25 Apr
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0
Shabab Al Ghar
20 Apr
Shabab Al Ghar
3 : 3
Al Tirsana
11 Apr
Al Ittihad
4 : 1
Shabab Al Ghar
17 Mar
Shabab Al Ghar
0 : 0
Olympic Azzaweya
11 Mar
Al Shomooa
3 : 1
Shabab Al Ghar
Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad Misurata

(Away)
24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
14 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
0 : 2
Olympic Azzaweya
10 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Misurata
06 May
Asswehly
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Misurata
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Ahly Tripoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Olympic Azzaweya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Asswehly 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Al Madina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Al Khmes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Ittihad Misurata 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Malaab El Libby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Bashaer 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Al Majd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Shabab Al Ghar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Al Watan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Assabah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Al Shomooa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Nasr 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Al Akhdar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Hilal Benghazi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Al Tahaddi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Darnes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Sharara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Taawun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Sadaqa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Wefaq Ajdabiya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al Afreeki 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Military Union 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Al Jadida 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Al Batnan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)