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Shabab Al Jeel vs Al-Tilal

Yemen Yemen

Division 1 2021
Sun, Sep 19, 2021
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shabab Al Jeel play Al-Tilal in the Division 1 2021. Shabab Al Jeel are favorites here. Recently, Shabab Al Jeel averaged 0.95 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Al-Tilal averaged 0.95 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Shabab Al Jeel won 1, Al-Tilal won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 19, 2021 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Shabab Al Jeel and 1.00 for Al-Tilal. This points to a Shabab Al Jeel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Shabab Al Jeel
25%
Draws
15%
Al-Tilal
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Shabab Al Jeel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Shabab Al Jeel picked up more points recently compared to Al-Tilal.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Shabab Al Jeel Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Tilal Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al Jeel Al-Tilal
Matches Played 22 19
Wins 3 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.95 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2021 Division 1
Shabab Al Jeel vs Al-Tilal
3:0
Mar 20, 2015 Division 1
Al-Tilal vs Shabab Al Jeel
0:0
Dec 12, 2014 Division 1
Shabab Al Jeel vs Al-Tilal
0:1
Apr 19, 2014 Division 1
Shabab Al Jeel vs Al-Tilal
0:0
Jan 18, 2014 Division 1
Al-Tilal vs Shabab Al Jeel
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al Jeel 59 / 100
Al-Tilal 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al Jeel Al-Tilal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shabab Al Jeel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Shabab Al Jeel & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shabab Al Jeel attacking → ← attacking Al-Tilal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabab Al Jeel scored in 55% of their last 22 games.

Al-Tilal let in goals in 58% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Shabab Al Jeel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al-Tilal lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 21
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.14

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Wahda1062214:820
2Fhman1043316:1215
3Al Shabab Hadramaut103618:515
4Al Oruba1033413:1512
5Al-Ittihad102538:1011
6Shabab Al Jeel100557:165
7Al-Tilal00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahli851210:416
2Al-Saqr83238:811
3Al Helal Al Sahely83238:911
4Al Yarmuk82338:129
5Al-Shaab Ibb82248:98
6Al-Wahda Aden00000:00
7Al Shula00000:00