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Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ahli

Jordan Jordan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Al Naeem H.
87'
Khader O.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Shabab Al Ordon and Al Ahli finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Shabab Al Ordon
39%
Draws
31%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Shabab Al Ordon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Shabab Al Ordon Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al Ordon Al Ahli
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 13
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ahli
0:1
Feb 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Shabab Al Ordon
0:1
Sep 25, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ahli
2:0
Aug 28, 2025 Shield Cup
Al Ahli vs Shabab Al Ordon
2:0
Mar 4, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al Ordon vs Al Ahli
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Al Ordon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Naeem H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al Ordon 41 / 100
Al Ahli 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al Ordon Al Ahli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shabab Al Ordon scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Al Ahli has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Shabab Al Ordon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al Ordon VS Al Ahli
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Hussein27195370:1762
2Al-Faisaly Amman27175552:2556
3Al Wehdat27166545:1954
4Al Ramtha27139540:2648
5Al Salt27971133:3534
6Al Jazeera Amman27871228:4531
7Shabab Al Ordon27781222:3729
8Al Buqaa27771341:6628
9Al Ahli27591326:4424
10Sama Al Sarhan27132315:586