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Shabab Al Ordon vs Sama Al Sarhan Prediction & H2H Stats

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Caicedo M.
74' Event
Al-Refaei A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Shabab Al Ordon and Sama Al Sarhan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shabab Al Ordon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Shabab Al Ordon
30%
Draws
0%
Sama Al Sarhan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shabab Al Ordon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shabab Al Ordon come out ahead of Sama Al Sarhan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shabab Al Ordon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shabab Al Ordon here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Shabab Al Ordon Clean Sheet 68%
Sama Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al Ordon Sama Al Sarhan
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.03 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Premier League
Shabab Al Ordon vs Sama Al Sarhan
2:0
Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
Sama Al Sarhan vs Shabab Al Ordon
0:0
Nov 20, 2025 Shield Cup
Sama Al Sarhan vs Shabab Al Ordon
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Al Ordon vs Sama Al Sarhan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Al Ordon Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al-Refaei A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sama Al Sarhan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al Ordon 95 / 100
Sama Al Sarhan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al Ordon Sama Al Sarhan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shabab Al Ordon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sama Al Sarhan conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Shabab Al Ordon went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Sama Al Sarhan has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Shabab Al Ordon found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al Ordon VS Sama Al Sarhan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Al Ordon

(Home)
19 Sept
Shabab Al Ordon
3 : 3
Al Hussein
10 Sept
Al Jazeera Amman
1 : 1
Shabab Al Ordon
04 Sept
Shabab Al Ordon
1 : 1
Al Ramtha
08 May
Shabab Al Ordon
2 : 0
Sama Al Sarhan
04 May
Al Jazeera Amman
1 : 3
Shabab Al Ordon
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Sama Al Sarhan

(Away)
08 May
Shabab Al Ordon
2 : 0
Sama Al Sarhan
03 May
Sama Al Sarhan
0 : 2
Al Hussein
27 Apr
Al Ramtha
2 : 0
Sama Al Sarhan
23 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
0 : 4
Al Hussein
14 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
2 : 3
Al Ahli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 27 19 5 3 70:17 62
2 Al-Faisaly Amman 27 17 5 5 52:25 56
3 Al Wehdat 27 16 6 5 45:19 54
4 Al Ramtha 27 13 9 5 40:26 48
5 Al Salt 27 9 7 11 33:35 34
6 Al Jazeera Amman 27 8 7 12 28:45 31
7 Shabab Al Ordon 27 7 8 12 22:37 29
8 Al Buqaa 27 7 7 13 41:66 28
9 Al Ahli 27 5 9 13 26:44 24
10 Sama Al Sarhan 27 1 3 23 15:58 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)