Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shabab Baalbeck
33%
Draws
27%
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shabab Baalbeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Shabab Baalbeck average 0.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Al Egtmaaey Tripoli's 0.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Shabab Baalbeck taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Shabab Baalbeck Clean Sheet 12%
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Baalbeck Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2017 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
1:1
Nov 25, 2016 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Shabab Baalbeck
1:4
Apr 9, 2016 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Shabab Baalbeck
2:1
Nov 8, 2015 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Baalbeck 38 / 100
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Baalbeck Al Egtmaaey Tripoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Egtmaaey Tripoli let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Away concern: Al Egtmaaey Tripoli has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Shabab Baalbeck scored in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Baalbeck VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Baalbeck

(Home)
05 Jul
Al Sahel
5 : 1
Shabab Baalbeck
01 Jul
Shabab Baalbeck
0 : 3
Bourj
25 Jun
Shabab Baalbeck
1 : 0
Racing
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
3 : 0
Shabab Baalbeck
Page 1 of 7

Al Egtmaaey Tripoli

(Away)
21 Apr
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
3 : 6
Tripoli SC
15 Apr
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
0 : 2
Tadamon
08 Apr
Akha
4 : 1
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
05 Mar
Al Sahel
2 : 1
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
24 Feb
Racing
3 : 2
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahed22154341:1449
2Salam Zgharta22124635:2940
3Nejmeh SC22116536:2233
4Al Ansar2295835:4032
5Shabab Baalbeck2294926:2431
6Tadamon22931025:2530
7Racing2286826:3030
8Akha22921135:3729
9Tripoli SC22841034:3128
10Safa2286832:3227
11Al Sahel22741120:2325
12Al Egtmaaey Tripoli22221821:598
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