Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Ghazieh

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Diaw A.
76' Event
Al-Awta H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Shabab Baalbeck
33%
Draws
40%
Al Ghazieh
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Ghazieh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Al Ghazieh at 1.25 per game, Shabab Baalbeck at 1.
  • Win probability leans Al Ghazieh's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Shabab Baalbeck Clean Sheet 15%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Baalbeck Al Ghazieh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Shabab Baalbeck
1:2
May 19, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Shabab Baalbeck
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Ghazieh
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Ghazieh
1:0
Feb 2, 2019 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Ghazieh
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Baalbeck Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Ghazieh Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaw A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Baalbeck 27 / 100
Al Ghazieh 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Baalbeck Al Ghazieh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ghazieh has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Al Ghazieh registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Shabab Baalbeck found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Shabab Baalbeck VS Al Ghazieh
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Baalbeck

(Home)
05 Jul
Al Sahel
5 : 1
Shabab Baalbeck
01 Jul
Shabab Baalbeck
0 : 3
Bourj
25 Jun
Shabab Baalbeck
1 : 0
Racing
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
3 : 0
Shabab Baalbeck
Page 1 of 6

Al Ghazieh

(Away)
05 Jul
Al Ghazieh
1 : 4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
30 Jun
Al Ghazieh
0 : 3
Al Sahel
26 Jun
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Ghazieh
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Racing
0 : 4
Al Ghazieh
Page 1 of 6