Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shabab Baalbeck vs Bourj

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Rahhal A.
78' Event
El Mokdad H.
90' Event
Mehanna H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Bourj in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bourj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shabab Baalbeck
40%
Draws
29%
Bourj
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bourj lately — more wins on the board than Shabab Baalbeck.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bourj have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Shabab Baalbeck Clean Sheet 10%
Bourj Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Baalbeck Bourj
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.4 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.40 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Bourj
0:3
Jun 1, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Bourj
0:1
May 1, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Shabab Baalbeck
0:2
Feb 19, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Bourj
1:3
Mar 22, 2024 Lebanese Cup
Shabab Baalbeck vs Bourj
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Baalbeck Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Bourj Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahhal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Mokdad H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Baalbeck 30 / 100
Bourj 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Baalbeck Bourj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bourj's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Bourj lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Shabab Baalbeck's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Baalbeck VS Bourj
0.8 Goals Scored 1.38
2.4 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Baalbeck

(Home)
05 Jul
Al Sahel
5 : 1
Shabab Baalbeck
01 Jul
Shabab Baalbeck
0 : 3
Bourj
25 Jun
Shabab Baalbeck
1 : 0
Racing
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
3 : 0
Shabab Baalbeck
Page 1 of 6

Bourj

(Away)
30 Dec
Al Ansar
4 : 1
Bourj
25 Dec
Bourj
1 : 4
Al Ahed
19 Dec
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
12 Dec
Bourj
2 : 1
Racing
06 Dec
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Bourj
Page 1 of 7