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Shabana vs KCB

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Samunya A.
53' Event
Etemesi K.
90' Event
Otieno Omondi W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

KCB in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored KCB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shabana
20%
Draws
44%
KCB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KCB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: KCB at 1.13 per game, Shabana at 0.94.
  • Model gives Shabana a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Shabana Clean Sheet 20%
KCB Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabana KCB
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.94 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs KCB
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
KCB vs Shabana
1:3
May 9, 2025 Premier League
KCB vs Shabana
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Premier League
Shabana vs KCB
2:0
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
KCB vs Shabana
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

KCB Compare

Top Goalscorer Samunya A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Etemesi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabana 42 / 100
KCB 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabana KCB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shabana scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

KCB has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Shabana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shabana VS KCB
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
13% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabana

(Home)
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
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KCB

(Away)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2
KCB
23 May
KCB
0 : 1
Posta Rangers
16 May
Tusker
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)