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Shabana vs Mahia

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Shabana and Mahia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shabana
44%
Draws
20%
Mahia
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mahia come out ahead of Shabana on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Shabana Clean Sheet 30%
Mahia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabana Mahia
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Mahia vs Shabana
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Mahia
0:0
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Shabana vs Mahia
0:1
Dec 11, 2024 Premier League
Mahia vs Shabana
1:1
May 11, 2024 Premier League
Mahia vs Shabana
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabana 38 / 100
Mahia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabana Mahia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shabana scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Shabana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mahia has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Shabana VS Mahia
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
13% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabana

(Home)
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 7

Mahia

(Away)
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
27 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 0
Mahia
17 May
Muranga
1 : 3
Mahia
10 May
Mahia
1 : 1
Police FC
03 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1
Mahia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)