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Shabana vs Migori

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2026/2027
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shabana host Migori in the Premier League 2026/2027. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Shabana at 0.96 goals for, 1 against; Migori at 1.58 for, 0.73 against. Head-to-head, Shabana have won 1 to Migori's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Sep 18, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.44 - 0.75) back Migori to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Shabana
30%
Draws
51%
Migori
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Migori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Migori lately — more wins on the board than Shabana.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2026/2027 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Shabana Clean Sheet 20%
Migori Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabana Migori
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0.96 1.58
Goals Conceded 1 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Migori
0:0
Jun 18, 2023 Super League
Shabana vs Migori
1:0
Feb 25, 2023 Super League
Migori vs Shabana
0:0
Jun 18, 2022 Super League
Shabana vs Migori
0:0
Feb 26, 2022 Super League
Migori vs Shabana
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabana 32 / 100
Migori 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabana Migori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shabana scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Shabana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Migori has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Shabana VS Migori
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabana

(Home)
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
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Migori

(Away)
13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1
Migori
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1
Migori
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)