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Shabana vs Police FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Kenya Kenya

FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Omar A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Shabana
35%
Draws
35%
Police FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Shabana and Police FC have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Shabana are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Police FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Shabana Clean Sheet 68%
Police FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabana Police FC
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 13
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 0.96 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Police FC
0:0
May 2, 2026 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Shabana vs Police FC
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Police FC
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Shabana
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Shabana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Police FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Omar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabana 51 / 100
Police FC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabana Police FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabana scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

Shabana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Police FC has conceded goals in 52% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shabana VS Police FC
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabana

(Home)
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 5

Police FC

(Away)
14 Jun
Tusker
2 : 1
Police FC
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Police FC
1 : 0
Bandari
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kakamega Homeboyz 0
Ulinzi Stars 1
Tusker 1
Kariobangi Sharks 0
Posta Rangers 0
Nairobi United 2
KCB 3
Chebaiywa Lions 0
KUTA Collection 0
Shabana 1
Police FC 1
BB Bread 0
3K FC 0
Bandari 2
Mfalme 5
Muranga 1
Quarter-finals
Ulinzi Stars 1
Tusker 2
Nairobi United 0
KCB 1
Shabana 0
Police FC 1
Bandari 5
Mfalme 2
Semi-finals
Tusker 1
KCB 0
Police FC 1
Bandari 0
Final
Tusker 2
Police FC 1
KCB 0
Bandari 2