Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shabana vs Tusker

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Teka T.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Shabana in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shabana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shabana
33%
Draws
27%
Tusker
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shabana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tusker average 0.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Shabana's 0.43.
  • Win probability leans Shabana's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Shabana Clean Sheet 68%
Tusker Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabana Tusker
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0.43 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.71 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Shabana vs Tusker
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Tusker vs Shabana
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Premier League
Tusker vs Shabana
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Shabana vs Tusker
2:1
Feb 11, 2024 Premier League
Shabana vs Tusker
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabana 50 / 100
Tusker 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabana Tusker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabana found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Tusker's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Shabana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shabana VS Tusker
0.43 Goals Scored 0.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
29% Over 1.5 38%
14% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabana

(Home)
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 6

Tusker

(Away)
29 Jul
Tusker
0 : 1
Rayon Sport
26 Jul
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 0
Tusker
14 Jun
Tusker
2 : 1
Police FC
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
27 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 0
Tusker
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)