Sport Picks

Iran

Division 1 2021/2022

Malavan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Division 1 2021/2022 encounter between Shahin Bushehr and Malavan promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Shahin Bushehr averages 0.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Malavan shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Shahin Bushehr, 2 wins for Malavan, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 02.06.22 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Shahin Bushehr and 0.99 for Malavan, suggesting the primary value lies in the Malavan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Shahin Bushehr

32%

Draws

53%

Malavan

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Malavan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Shahin Bushehr picked up more points recently compared to Malavan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 52%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%

Shahin Bushehr Clean Sheet 23%

Malavan Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 47%

Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shahin Bushehr	Malavan
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	2	15
Draws	8	9
Losses	20	8
Goals Scored	0.43	0.94
Goals Conceded	1.7	0.81

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

02.06.22 Azadegan League

Shahin Bushehr vs Malavan

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

28.01.22 Azadegan League

Malavan vs Shahin Bushehr

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

14.05.21 Azadegan League

Malavan vs Shahin Bushehr

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

28.12.20 Azadegan League

Shahin Bushehr vs Malavan

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

16.04.19 Azadegan League

Shahin Bushehr vs Malavan

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Shahin Bushehr

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Malavan

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Sit deep

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahin Bushehr Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A

0 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Malavan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazemi H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahin Bushehr 18 / 100

Malavan 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shahin Bushehr Malavan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malavan Win (2)

Secondary Pick Malavan & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +22.1%

3.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Malavan will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Shahin Bushehr 17%

Malavan 42%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Shahin Bushehr will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Malavan's early runs.

Shahin Bushehr 14%

Malavan 56%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Malavan to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Shahin Bushehr tries to push forward.

Shahin Bushehr 15%

Malavan 53%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Malavan increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Shahin Bushehr 16%

Malavan 50%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Shahin Bushehr's defense, opening up opportunities for Malavan's forward line.

Shahin Bushehr 14%

Malavan 58%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Malavan to manage the closing stages, while Shahin Bushehr searches for late drama.

Shahin Bushehr 17%

Malavan 61%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shahin Bushehr attacking → ← attacking Malavan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahin Bushehr have found the net in 27% of their last 30 matches.

Malavan have conceded at least one goal in 50% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.60 goals per match.

Shahin Bushehr remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Malavan suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 54

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Malavan	34	20	11	3	40:15	71
2	Mes Kerman	34	19	13	2	40:10	70
3	Arman Gohar	34	17	10	7	41:26	61
4	Kheybar Khorramabad	34	16	11	7	47:29	59
5	Pars Janoobi Jam	34	13	13	8	37:36	52
6	Khoosheh Talai	34	12	14	8	48:39	50
7	Mes Shahr Babak	34	10	16	8	30:23	46
8	Esteghlal Molasani	34	9	19	6	31:27	46
9	Shams Azar Qazvin	34	11	11	12	37:35	44
10	Shahrdari Hamedan	34	9	16	9	27:24	43
11	Shahrdari Astara	34	10	12	12	26:29	42
12	Esteghlal Khuzestan	34	10	10	14	37:34	40
13	Saipa	34	8	16	10	33:35	40
14	Qashqai Shiraz	34	10	9	15	26:34	39
15	Rayka Babol	34	8	14	12	32:36	38
16	Vista Toorbin	34	8	13	13	26:33	37
17	Shahin Bushehr	34	2	9	23	14:55	15
18	Machine Sazi Tabriz	34	1	9	24	29:81	12
19	Baderan Tehran	0	0	0	0	0:0	0