Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shahin Bushehr vs Mes Kerman

Iran Iran

Division 1 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mes Kerman is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Shahin Bushehr, backed by a win probability of 58%. Shahin Bushehr averages 0.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Mes Kerman shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Shahin Bushehr, 4 wins for Mes Kerman, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 30.04.22 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.85 for Shahin Bushehr and 0.93 for Mes Kerman, suggesting the primary value lies in the Mes Kerman double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Shahin Bushehr
30%
Draws
58%
Mes Kerman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mes Kerman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Shahin Bushehr picked up more points recently compared to Mes Kerman.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 16%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Shahin Bushehr Clean Sheet 24%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 41%
Second Half Goal 43%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahin Bushehr Mes Kerman
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 2 17
Draws 8 15
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.43 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.46

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

30.04.22 Azadegan League
Shahin Bushehr vs Mes Kerman
0:1
14.12.21 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bushehr
3:0
07.04.21 Azadegan League
Shahin Bushehr vs Mes Kerman
0:1
29.11.20 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bushehr
1:0
07.02.19 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bushehr
0:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Shahin Bushehr

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Mes Kerman

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahin Bushehr Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A
0 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mes Kerman Compare

Top Goalscorer Feizi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahin Bushehr 16 / 100
Mes Kerman 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahin Bushehr Mes Kerman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Kerman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Mes Kerman & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +200%
25.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +30%
5.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Mes Kerman will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Shahin Bushehr 13%
Mes Kerman 46%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Shahin Bushehr will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Mes Kerman's early runs.

Shahin Bushehr 11%
Mes Kerman 61%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Mes Kerman to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Shahin Bushehr tries to push forward.

Shahin Bushehr 12%
Mes Kerman 58%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Mes Kerman increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Shahin Bushehr 13%
Mes Kerman 55%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Shahin Bushehr's defense, opening up opportunities for Mes Kerman's forward line.

Shahin Bushehr 11%
Mes Kerman 64%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Mes Kerman to manage the closing stages, while Shahin Bushehr searches for late drama.

Shahin Bushehr 14%
Mes Kerman 67%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shahin Bushehr attacking → ← attacking Mes Kerman

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahin Bushehr have found the net in 27% of their last 30 matches.

Mes Kerman have conceded at least one goal in 38% of their last 39 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.20 goals per match.

Shahin Bushehr remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Mes Kerman suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 66
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Malavan342011340:1571
2Mes Kerman341913240:1070
3Arman Gohar341710741:2661
4Kheybar Khorramabad341611747:2959
5Pars Janoobi Jam341313837:3652
6Khoosheh Talai341214848:3950
7Mes Shahr Babak341016830:2346
8Esteghlal Molasani34919631:2746
9Shams Azar Qazvin3411111237:3544
10Shahrdari Hamedan34916927:2443
11Shahrdari Astara3410121226:2942
12Esteghlal Khuzestan3410101437:3440
13Saipa348161033:3540
14Qashqai Shiraz341091526:3439
15Rayka Babol348141232:3638
16Vista Toorbin348131326:3337
17Shahin Bushehr34292314:5515
18Machine Sazi Tabriz34192429:8112
19Baderan Tehran00000:00