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Shahr Khodrou vs Mes Rafsanjan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shahr Khodrou play Mes Rafsanjan in the Persian Gulf Pro League 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shahr Khodrou averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Mes Rafsanjan averaged 0.66 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Shahr Khodrou won 0, Mes Rafsanjan won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 12, 2022 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Shahr Khodrou and 0.86 for Mes Rafsanjan. This points to a Mes Rafsanjan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Shahr Khodrou
21%
Draws
53%
Mes Rafsanjan
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Mes Rafsanjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Shahr Khodrou picked up more points recently compared to Mes Rafsanjan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Shahr Khodrou Clean Sheet 25%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahr Khodrou Mes Rafsanjan
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 3 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.72 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.24

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shahr Khodrou vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:3
Jan 18, 2022 Hazfi Cup
Mes Rafsanjan vs Shahr Khodrou
1:0
Oct 24, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Shahr Khodrou
3:0
Jul 25, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Shahr Khodrou
2:1
Feb 4, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shahr Khodrou vs Mes Rafsanjan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahr Khodrou Compare

Top Goalscorer Jafari R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mes Rafsanjan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mensha G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hosseini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahr Khodrou 28 / 100
Mes Rafsanjan 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahr Khodrou Mes Rafsanjan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Rafsanjan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Mes Rafsanjan & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shahr Khodrou attacking → ← attacking Mes Rafsanjan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahr Khodrou scored in 56% of their last 25 games.

Mes Rafsanjan let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Shahr Khodrou went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mes Rafsanjan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 25
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Esteghlal TEH301911039:1068
2Persepolis30189344:2163
3Sepahan30168643:2156
4Gol Gohar301312537:2851
5Foolad301310730:2249
6Mes Rafsanjan30129939:2945
7Aluminium Arak30716720:2337
8Zob Ahan301071321:2537
9Paykan30715826:2736
10Sanat Naft30991226:3036
11Havadar SC308101218:2534
12Mazandaran30615924:3433
13Tractor307101326:3231
14Naft Masjed-Soleyman303131414:3522
15Fajr Sepasi302111710:2917
16Shahr Khodrou302111717:4317