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Shahrdari Astara vs Esteghlal Molasani

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shahrdari Astara play Esteghlal Molasani in the Division 1 2023/2024. Esteghlal Molasani are favorites here. Recently, Shahrdari Astara averaged 0.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Esteghlal Molasani averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Shahrdari Astara won 1, Esteghlal Molasani won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 2, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Shahrdari Astara and 1.63 for Esteghlal Molasani. This points to a Esteghlal Molasani double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Shahrdari Astara
6%
Draws
90%
Esteghlal Molasani
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Esteghlal Molasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Esteghlal Molasani has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shahrdari Astara.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Esteghlal Molasani.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Shahrdari Astara Clean Sheet 14%
Esteghlal Molasani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahrdari Astara Esteghlal Molasani
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 0 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2024 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Esteghlal Molasani
0:1
Nov 15, 2023 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Shahrdari Astara
2:0
May 4, 2023 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Shahrdari Astara
0:0
Nov 18, 2022 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Esteghlal Molasani
1:0
Apr 5, 2022 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Esteghlal Molasani
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahrdari Astara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Esteghlal Molasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Namdari V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahrdari Astara 10 / 100
Esteghlal Molasani 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahrdari Astara Esteghlal Molasani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahrdari Astara scored in 28% of their last 32 games.

Esteghlal Molasani let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Shahrdari Astara went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Esteghlal Molasani lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shahrdari Astara VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kheybar Khorramabad34252759:2577
2Fajr Sepasi34227550:1773
3Chadormalu34227547:2073
4Naft Masjed-Soleyman341613547:2958
5Saipa3413111035:2850
6Mes Kerman341115828:2448
7Ario Eslamshahr3411131028:2846
8Mes Shahr Babak3411111232:2644
9Naft Gachsaran3410131135:2643
10Kara Gostar Shabestar3411101327:3443
11Pars Janoobi Jam3411101333:4243
12Esteghlal Molasani3410131126:3338
13Shahre Raz348121425:3436
14Shahrdari Astara34961922:4433
15Damash Gilan347111632:4532
16Darya Babol346131530:4131
17Shahin Bandar Ameri3449821:5127
18Khoosheh Talai34662217:4724