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Shahrdari Astara vs Mes Shahr Babak

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shahrdari Astara play Mes Shahr Babak in the Azadegan League 2024/2025. Mes Shahr Babak are favorites here. Recently, Shahrdari Astara averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. Mes Shahr Babak averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.48 conceded. In past meetings, Shahrdari Astara won 0, Mes Shahr Babak won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 11, 2025 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Shahrdari Astara and 1.18 for Mes Shahr Babak. This points to a Mes Shahr Babak double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Shahrdari Astara
27%
Draws
64%
Mes Shahr Babak
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Mes Shahr Babak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shahrdari Astara picked up more points recently compared to Mes Shahr Babak.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29%
Shahrdari Astara Clean Sheet 20%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahrdari Astara Mes Shahr Babak
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 0 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 23 4
Goals Scored 0.4 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.53 0.48

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2025 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Mes Shahr Babak
1:4
Oct 23, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Shahrdari Astara
2:0
May 30, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Shahrdari Astara
4:1
Dec 5, 2023 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:0
Jan 18, 2023 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Astara vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahrdari Astara Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghanbarpour S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mes Shahr Babak Compare

Top Goalscorer Navabifar E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valizadeh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahrdari Astara 12 / 100
Mes Shahr Babak 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahrdari Astara Mes Shahr Babak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Shahr Babak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Mes Shahr Babak & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +800%
100.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shahrdari Astara attacking → ← attacking Mes Shahr Babak

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahrdari Astara scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Mes Shahr Babak let in goals in 39% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Shahrdari Astara went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Mes Shahr Babak lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 67
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fajr Sepasi34199639:1766
2Paykan341613543:2161
3Saipa34179834:2360
4Sanat Naft341514528:1559
5Ario Eslamshahr341416433:1858
6Pars Janoobi Jam341411940:3053
7Mes Shahr Babak341213934:2549
8Shahrdari Noshahr3412101237:3246
9Naft Bandar Abbas3410121232:3042
10Mes Kerman34818823:2142
11Besat Kermanshah349151026:2542
12Naft Gachsaran3410121227:2842
13Niroye Zamini347161119:2337
14Kara Gostar Shabestar347151234:4136
15Damash Gilan346161220:3934
16Naft Masjed-Soleyman346151329:3633
17Shahre Raz347121527:3433
18Shahrdari Astara34082614:818