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Iran

Azadegan League

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shahrdari Noshahr host Havadar SC in the Azadegan League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Havadar SC have shipped 0.25 goals a game lately, while Shahrdari Noshahr have conceded 0.88 and scored 0.38. Past meetings favor Shahrdari Noshahr slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.32 vs 1.06, favoring Havadar SC. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Shahrdari Noshahr

22%

Draws

60%

Havadar SC

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Havadar SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Havadar SC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shahrdari Noshahr.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Havadar SC.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Azadegan League provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 9%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 22%

Havadar SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shahrdari Noshahr	Havadar SC
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	4	8
Draws	12	14
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	0.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Azadegan League

Shahrdari Noshahr vs Havadar SC

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Sep 24, 2025 Azadegan League

Havadar SC vs Shahrdari Noshahr

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahrdari Noshahr 21 / 100

Havadar SC 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shahrdari Noshahr Havadar SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAV Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahrdari Noshahr scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Havadar SC let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Shahrdari Noshahr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Havadar SC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shahrdari Noshahr VS Havadar SC

0.38 Goals Scored 1.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25

50% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	32	19	9	4	46:15	66
2	Mes Shahr Babak	32	18	10	4	39:14	64
3	Pars Janoobi Jam	32	14	12	6	38:21	54
4	Sanat Naft	32	14	12	6	34:21	54
5	Saipa	32	14	11	7	27:18	53
6	Havadar SC	32	11	16	5	30:18	49
7	Fard	32	10	15	7	24:14	45
8	Naft Bandar Abbas	32	9	17	6	23:18	44
9	Mes Kerman	32	9	15	8	20:17	42
10	Ario Eslamshahr	32	8	15	9	16:16	39
11	Besat Kermanshah	32	9	11	12	24:27	38
12	Niroye Zamini	32	8	11	13	27:28	35
13	Naft Gachsaran	32	7	13	12	23:37	34
14	Kara Gostar Shabestar	32	8	9	15	16:34	33
15	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	32	7	10	15	19:35	31
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	32	5	14	13	17:27	29
17	Navad Urmia	32	4	12	16	16:43	24
18	Damash Gilan	32	2	12	18	16:52	18