Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2012

Ak Bulak

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shakhtar Bulat play Ak Bulak in the First Division 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shakhtar Bulat averaged 1.84 goals scored and 2.02 conceded. Ak Bulak averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Shakhtar Bulat won 1, Ak Bulak won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 13, 2013 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Shakhtar Bulat and 2.00 for Ak Bulak. This points to a Shakhtar Bulat double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Shakhtar Bulat

24%

Draws

37%

Ak Bulak

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Shakhtar Bulat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Shakhtar Bulat picked up more points recently compared to Ak Bulak.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 10%

Ak Bulak Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shakhtar Bulat	Ak Bulak
Matches Played	45	30
Wins	18	12
Draws	7	5
Losses	20	13
Goals Scored	1.84	1.47
Goals Conceded	2.02	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2013 First League

Shakhtar Bulat vs Ak Bulak

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 0 - 2

1:4

Apr 17, 2013 First League

Ak Bulak vs Shakhtar Bulat

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Oct 20, 2012 First League

Ak Bulak vs Shakhtar Bulat

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 4 - 4

0:1

Jul 22, 2012 First League

Shakhtar Bulat vs Ak Bulak

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar Bulat 37 / 100

Ak Bulak 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shakhtar Bulat Ak Bulak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shakhtar Bulat or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shakhtar Bulat attacking → ← attacking Ak Bulak

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar Bulat scored in 84% of their last 45 games.

Ak Bulak let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Shakhtar Bulat went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ak Bulak lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 41

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ile-Saulet	30	17	10	3	52:20	61
2	Vostok Oskemen	30	16	9	5	40:21	57
3	Zhenis	30	16	9	5	38:17	57
4	Bayterek Astana	30	14	11	5	39:19	53
5	FK Kyran	30	14	6	10	51:38	48
6	Spartak Semey	30	14	4	12	38:45	46
7	Shakhtar Bulat	30	12	10	8	30:23	46
8	Kaspij Aktau	30	12	7	11	39:31	43
9	Ak Bulak	30	11	8	11	34:29	41
10	Taraz-Karatau 2	30	11	8	11	33:28	41
11	Kyzylzhar	30	11	7	12	36:43	40
12	FC Ekibastuz	30	11	4	15	45:43	37
13	Kairat Almaty 2	30	9	9	12	37:41	36
14	Aktobe Zhas	30	8	2	20	31:62	26
15	CSKA Almaty	30	4	6	20	18:55	18
16	Shymkent	30	3	4	23	20:66	13