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Shakhtar Bulat vs Akademiya Ontustik

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Flyuk S.
40' Event
Tkachenko I.
49' Event
Serikkul R.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Shakhtar Bulat and Akademiya Ontustik finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akademiya Ontustik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Shakhtar Bulat
28%
Draws
50%
Akademiya Ontustik
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Akademiya Ontustik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Shakhtar Bulat haven't matched Akademiya Ontustik's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Akademiya Ontustik taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Akademiya Ontustik here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 18%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Bulat Akademiya Ontustik
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 8 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2022 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Akademiya Ontustik
2:4
Apr 24, 2022 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Shakhtar Bulat
4:1
Sep 21, 2021 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Akademiya Ontustik
3:0
May 27, 2021 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Shakhtar Bulat
3:2
Oct 16, 2020 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Akademiya Ontustik
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Bulat Compare

Top Goalscorer Flyuk S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galkin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Akademiya Ontustik Compare

Top Goalscorer Serikkul R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tkachenko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar Bulat 23 / 100
Akademiya Ontustik 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Bulat Akademiya Ontustik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar Bulat's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Akademiya Ontustik has conceded goals in 79% of their last 38 outings.

Shakhtar Bulat has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Akademiya Ontustik
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717