Sport Picks

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Shakhtar vs Ch. Odesa

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Arena Lviv, Lviv
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Ghram A. In: Bondar V.
Out: Ghram A.
12'
Popov K.
13' Event
Ocheretko O.
Assist: Newerton

AI Match Summary

Shakhtar in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shakhtar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Shakhtar
20%
Draws
23%
Ch. Odesa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shakhtar lately — more wins on the board than Ch. Odesa.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Shakhtar taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shakhtar have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 20%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Ch. Odesa
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Ch. Odesa
2:0
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Shakhtar
0:3
Nov 2, 2024 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Ch. Odesa
2:1
May 5, 2024 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Ch. Odesa
3:0
May 1, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Shakhtar
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocheretko O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luca Meirelles
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ch. Odesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 85 / 100
Ch. Odesa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Ch. Odesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Shakhtar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Ch. Odesa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar VS Ch. Odesa
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar

(Home)
17 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
0 : 3
Shakhtar
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2
Shakhtar
29 Aug
Shakhtar
0 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
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Ch. Odesa

(Away)
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
23 Aug
FC Vilkhivtsi
1 : 0
Ch. Odesa
16 Aug
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 7 6 0 1 15:4 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
7 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
8 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
9 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
10 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
11 Veres Rivne 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 6 0 2 4 4:16 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)