Sport Picks
Shakhtar vs Crystal Palace
Europe
Conference League 2025/2026 Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków 
Match Events
1'
1'
Sarr I.
Assist: Mateta J.
31'
31'
Ocheretko O.
38'
38'
Tobias V.
AI Match Summary
Crystal Palace in this Conference League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shakhtar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Shakhtar have won more games recently than Crystal Palace.
- Shakhtar are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Shakhtar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Crystal Palace, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 68%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shakhtar | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 7, 2026 Conference League
Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar
2:1
Apr 30, 2026 Conference League
Shakhtar vs Crystal Palace
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shakhtar Compare
Top Goalscorer Ocheretko O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Crystal Palace Compare
Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kamada D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shakhtar 59 / 100
Crystal Palace 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shakhtar Crystal Palace
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shakhtar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Shakhtar scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Shakhtar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Crystal Palace has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Shakhtar VS Crystal Palace
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Shakhtar
(Home) 20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0 LNZ Cherkasy
17 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
0 : 3 Shakhtar
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0 Ch. Odesa
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1 Shakhtar
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2 Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0 LNZ Cherkasy
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0 Ch. Odesa
29 Aug
Shakhtar
0 : 2 Polissya Zhytomyr
03 Aug
Shakhtar
5 : 1 Kudrivka
25 Jul
Shakhtar
0 : 0 Al-Ula
Page 1 of 3
Crystal Palace
(Away) 20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0 Crystal Palace
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3 Ipswich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 Middlesbrough
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0 Crystal Palace
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3 Crystal Palace
22 Aug
Everton
2 : 0 Crystal Palace
15 Aug
Freiburg
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
KuPS 0
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
Noah 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
Zrinjski 1
Crystal Palace 3
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
Jagiellonia 4
Fiorentina 5
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Samsunspor 5
Rayo Vallecano -
TBD -
Drita 4
Celje 6
AEK -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc 3
Lausanne 2
Mainz -
TBD -
Omonia 1
Rijeka 4
Strasbourg -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar 4
AZ Alkmaar 6
Sparta Prague 1
Crystal Palace 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Fiorentina 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Samsunspor 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Celje 2
AEK 4
Sigma Olomouc 0
Mainz 2
Rijeka 2
Strasbourg 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar 5
AZ Alkmaar 2
Crystal Palace 4
Fiorentina 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
AEK 3
Mainz 2
Strasbourg 4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar 2
Crystal Palace 5
Rayo Vallecano 2
Strasbourg 0
Final
Crystal Palace 1
Rayo Vallecano 0
