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Shakhtar vs Kolos Kovalivka

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shakhtar host Kolos Kovalivka in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Kolos Kovalivka have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while Shakhtar have conceded 0.79 and scored 2.1. Head-to-head, Shakhtar have won 2 to Kolos Kovalivka's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.94, favoring Shakhtar. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Shakhtar
30%
Draws
19%
Kolos Kovalivka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shakhtar come out ahead of Kolos Kovalivka on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Shakhtar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 20%
Kolos Kovalivka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Kolos Kovalivka
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 19 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.1 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Kolos Kovalivka
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka vs Shakhtar
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Kolos Kovalivka
2:4
Oct 18, 2024 Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka vs Shakhtar
0:1
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Kolos Kovalivka
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 85 / 100
Kolos Kovalivka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Kolos Kovalivka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Shakhtar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Kolos Kovalivka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar VS Kolos Kovalivka
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar

(Home)
02 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Kryvbas
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
17 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
0 : 3
Shakhtar
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

Kolos Kovalivka

(Away)
20 Sept
Kudrivka
2 : 3
Kolos Kovalivka
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
11 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2
Karpaty Lviv
05 Sept
Kryvbas
2 : 2
Kolos Kovalivka
28 Aug
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0
Obolon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 7 6 0 1 15:4 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Veres Rivne 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
7 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
8 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
9 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
10 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 7 0 2 5 5:18 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)