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Shakhtar vs Kolos Kovalivka

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Ukraina Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shakhtar play Kolos Kovalivka in the Premier League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shakhtar averaged 2.18 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Kolos Kovalivka averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Shakhtar won 2, Kolos Kovalivka won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 21, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Shakhtar and 1.38 for Kolos Kovalivka. This points to a Shakhtar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Shakhtar
20%
Draws
32%
Kolos Kovalivka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Shakhtar picked up more points recently compared to Kolos Kovalivka.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 17%
Kolos Kovalivka Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Kolos Kovalivka
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 19 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.18 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.96 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Kolos Kovalivka
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka vs Shakhtar
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Kolos Kovalivka
2:4
Oct 18, 2024 Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka vs Shakhtar
0:1
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Kolos Kovalivka
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kolos Kovalivka Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahiri A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 47 / 100
Kolos Kovalivka 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Kolos Kovalivka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shakhtar or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shakhtar attacking → ← attacking Kolos Kovalivka

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Kolos Kovalivka let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Shakhtar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kolos Kovalivka lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 41
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shakhtar30226271:2172
2LNZ Cherkasy30186639:1760
3Polissya Zhytomyr30185751:2159
4Dynamo Kyiv30176766:3657
5FC Kharkiv301312536:1951
6Kolos Kovalivka301310730:2549
7Kryvbas30139853:4648
8Zorya301210842:3646
9Karpaty Lviv301011940:3141
10Epitsentr30881436:4532
11Veres Rivne307101326:4031
12Obolon307101328:4931
13Kudrivka30771632:4828
14Rukh Lviv30632120:5121
15Oleksandriya30381924:5817
16SC Poltava30272123:7413