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Shakhtar vs LNZ Cherkasy

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shakhtar host LNZ Cherkasy in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Shakhtar have averaged 1.93 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against LNZ Cherkasy's 1.29 scored and 0.64 conceded. Head-to-head, Shakhtar have won 2 to LNZ Cherkasy's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.63, favoring Shakhtar. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Shakhtar
20%
Draws
33%
LNZ Cherkasy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shakhtar come out ahead of LNZ Cherkasy on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 20%
LNZ Cherkasy Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar LNZ Cherkasy
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.93 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar
2:2
Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Shakhtar vs LNZ Cherkasy
1:4
Apr 11, 2025 Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar
1:4
Oct 6, 2024 Premier League
Shakhtar vs LNZ Cherkasy
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 32 / 100
LNZ Cherkasy 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar LNZ Cherkasy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LNZ Cherkasy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Shakhtar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: LNZ Cherkasy conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar VS LNZ Cherkasy
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar

(Home)
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2
Shakhtar
29 Aug
Shakhtar
0 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
16 Aug
FC Kharkiv
0 : 1
Shakhtar
09 Aug
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

LNZ Cherkasy

(Away)
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
06 Sept
Dynamo Kyiv
0 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
30 Aug
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 1
Veres Rivne
16 Aug
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
10 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 Karpaty Lviv 6 4 1 1 14:4 13
3 Shakhtar 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
4 FC Kharkiv 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
5 Epitsentr 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
6 LNZ Cherkasy 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
7 Zorya 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
8 Bukovyna 6 1 4 1 4:4 7
9 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
10 Veres Rivne 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
11 Kryvbas 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
12 Livyi Bereg 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
13 Ch. Odesa 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
14 Obolon 6 0 3 3 1:11 3
15 Kolos Kovalivka 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Kudrivka 5 0 2 3 2:13 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)