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Shakhtar vs LNZ Cherkasy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Arena Lviv, Lviv
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Muravskyi N.
28'
Sub
Yade P. In: Dajko A.
Out: Yade P.
33'
Alisson

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Shakhtar and LNZ Cherkasy finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shakhtar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Shakhtar
20%
Draws
40%
LNZ Cherkasy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shakhtar come out ahead of LNZ Cherkasy on wins alone.
  • Model gives Shakhtar a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 20%
LNZ Cherkasy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar LNZ Cherkasy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Premier League
Shakhtar vs LNZ Cherkasy
3:0
Apr 13, 2026 Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar
2:2
Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Shakhtar vs LNZ Cherkasy
1:4
Apr 11, 2025 Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isaque Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

LNZ Cherkasy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 42 / 100
LNZ Cherkasy 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar LNZ Cherkasy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Shakhtar found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Shakhtar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: LNZ Cherkasy conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar VS LNZ Cherkasy
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar

(Home)
03 Nov
Shakhtar
0 : 1
Sporting CP
30 Oct
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Obolon
27 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Dynamo Kyiv
24 Oct
Shakhtar
0 : 0
Zorya
21 Oct
Inter
1 : 0
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

LNZ Cherkasy

(Away)
28 Oct
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
24 Oct
Livyi Bereg
0 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
18 Oct
Kryvbas
0 : 3
LNZ Cherkasy
11 Oct
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 1
Kudrivka
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 11 9 1 1 25:8 28
2 Shakhtar 11 9 1 1 22:5 28
3 Dynamo Kyiv 10 7 1 2 16:9 22
4 FC Kharkiv 9 7 0 2 18:7 21
5 Karpaty Lviv 11 5 4 2 22:8 19
6 Zorya 11 5 3 3 13:13 18
7 LNZ Cherkasy 10 4 3 3 10:9 15
8 Kolos Kovalivka 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
9 Livyi Bereg 10 1 6 3 7:9 9
10 Ch. Odesa 10 2 3 5 8:12 9
11 Epitsentr 11 2 3 6 10:15 9
12 Bukovyna 10 1 6 3 7:12 9
13 Veres Rivne 12 2 3 7 7:18 9
14 Obolon 11 1 5 5 5:18 8
15 Kryvbas 9 1 3 5 7:15 6
16 Kudrivka 11 1 2 8 11:29 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)