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Shakhtar vs Neftchi Fargona

World World

Club Friendly
Thu, Feb 5, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shakhtar host Neftchi Fargona in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Neftchi Fargona have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Shakhtar have conceded 1.38 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, Shakhtar have won 0 to Neftchi Fargona's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.49 - 1.69) back Shakhtar to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Shakhtar
20%
Draws
38%
Neftchi Fargona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Shakhtar have won more games recently than Neftchi Fargona.
  • Win probability leans Shakhtar's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 13%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Neftchi Fargona
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 20 18
Draws 4 2
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Shakhtar vs Neftchi Fargona
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 40 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Neftchi Fargona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shakhtar scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Neftchi Fargona conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.

Shakhtar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar VS Neftchi Fargona
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar

(Home)
25 Jul
Shakhtar
0 : 0
Al-Ula
23 Jul
HNK Gorica
0 : 2
Shakhtar
21 Jul
Slaven Belupo
2 : 2
Shakhtar
19 Jul
Rudes
0 : 5
Shakhtar
21 May
Shakhtar
0 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka
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Neftchi Fargona

(Away)
21 Jul
Sogdiana
1 : 5
Neftchi Fargona
16 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Buxoro
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona
29 Apr
Neftchi Fargona
4 : 0
Kokand 1912
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