Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shakhtar vs Obolon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shakhtar host Obolon in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Shakhtar at 2.11 goals for, 0.79 against; Obolon at 0.89 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Shakhtar slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.63 - 0.44) back Shakhtar to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Shakhtar
20%
Draws
9%
Obolon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shakhtar lately — more wins on the board than Obolon.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Shakhtar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shakhtar here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 20%
Obolon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Obolon
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 5
Draws 5 12
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.11 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Obolon
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Obolon vs Shakhtar
0:6
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
Obolon vs Shakhtar
0:2
Sep 23, 2024 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Obolon
4:0
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Obolon vs Shakhtar
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 85 / 100
Obolon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Obolon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shakhtar scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Shakhtar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Obolon let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar VS Obolon
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar

(Home)
14 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 1
AEK
09 Oct
Veres Rivne
0 : 3
Shakhtar
02 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Kryvbas
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
17 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
0 : 3
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

Obolon

(Away)
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
05 Sept
FC Kharkiv
5 : 0
Obolon
28 Aug
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0
Obolon
22 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 0
Obolon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtar 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
2 Polissya Zhytomyr 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
3 Dynamo Kyiv 7 5 1 1 10:5 16
4 FC Kharkiv 7 5 0 2 14:5 15
5 Karpaty Lviv 8 4 2 2 15:6 14
6 Zorya 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
7 LNZ Cherkasy 8 3 2 3 7:9 11
8 Veres Rivne 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
9 Kolos Kovalivka 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Bukovyna 8 1 5 2 6:8 8
11 Epitsentr 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
12 Livyi Bereg 7 1 4 2 5:6 7
13 Ch. Odesa 7 1 2 4 4:9 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 8 0 2 6 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)