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Shakhtar vs Sporting CP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Stamford Bridge, London
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Doumbia I.
66'
Araujo M.
67'
Sub
Mendoza G. In: Newerton
Out: Mendoza G.

AI Match Summary

The Champions League game between Shakhtar and Sporting CP finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting CP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Shakhtar
15%
Draws
48%
Sporting CP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shakhtar come out ahead of Sporting CP on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting CP have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Sporting CP
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.97 2.34
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 Champions League
Shakhtar vs Sporting CP
0:1
Nov 4, 2008 Champions League
Sporting CP vs Shakhtar
1:0
Oct 22, 2008 Champions League
Shakhtar vs Sporting CP
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sporting CP Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 31 / 100
Sporting CP 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Sporting CP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sporting CP has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Shakhtar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar VS Sporting CP
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar

(Home)
03 Nov
Shakhtar
0 : 1
Sporting CP
30 Oct
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Obolon
27 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Dynamo Kyiv
24 Oct
Shakhtar
0 : 0
Zorya
21 Oct
Inter
1 : 0
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

Sporting CP

(Away)
03 Nov
Shakhtar
0 : 1
Sporting CP
30 Oct
Casa Pia
0 : 2
Sporting CP
27 Oct
Sporting CP
2 : 1
Maritimo
25 Oct
Sporting CP
1 : 2
Academico Viseu
21 Oct
Sporting CP
2 : 3
LASK Linz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 4 4 0 0 20:5 12
2 Real Madrid 4 4 0 0 13:7 12
3 Arsenal 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
4 Como 4 3 0 1 19:6 9
5 Barcelona 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
6 Aston Villa 4 3 0 1 12:6 9
7 Manchester City 4 3 0 1 12:7 9
8 Liverpool 4 3 0 1 14:10 9
9 Club Brugge 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
10 Sporting CP 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
11 Betis 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
12 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
13 Bayern Munich 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
15 Inter 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
16 LASK Linz 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
17 Manchester United 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
18 Galatasaray 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
19 Fenerbahce 4 1 2 1 6:11 5
20 AS Roma 4 1 1 2 10:8 4
21 Shakhtar 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
22 Viking 4 1 1 2 9:10 4
23 Atl. Madrid 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
24 PSV 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
25 Bodo/Glimt 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
26 FC Porto 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
27 Napoli 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
28 Villarreal 4 1 0 3 8:14 3
29 AEK 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
30 RB Leipzig 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
31 Sabah FC 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
32 Feyenoord 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
33 Lens 4 1 0 3 4:16 3
34 Slavia Prague 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
35 Lille 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
36 Slovan Bratislava 4 0 0 4 1:17 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)