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Shakhtar vs Zorya Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shakhtar host Zorya in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Shakhtar at 2 goals for, 0.83 against; Zorya at 1.57 for, 1.47 against. Past meetings favor Shakhtar slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.25) point toward Shakhtar. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Shakhtar
30%
Draws
19%
Zorya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Shakhtar have won more games recently than Zorya.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Shakhtar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Shakhtar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 19%
Zorya Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Zorya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Premier League
Zorya vs Shakhtar
1:2
Sep 22, 2025 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Zorya
1:0
May 9, 2025 Premier League
Zorya vs Shakhtar
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Zorya
3:1
Oct 30, 2024 Ukrainian Cup
Shakhtar vs Zorya
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar 58 / 100
Zorya 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Zorya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Shakhtar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Zorya conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shakhtar VS Zorya
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar

(Home)
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
17 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
0 : 3
Shakhtar
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

Zorya

(Away)
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2
Dynamo Kyiv
13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Zorya
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
06 Sept
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Zorya
31 Aug
Zorya
0 : 3
FC Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 7 6 0 1 15:4 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
7 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
8 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
9 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
10 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
11 Veres Rivne 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 6 0 2 4 4:16 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)