Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2006

Rakhat Astana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shakhter Karagandy 2 play Rakhat Astana in the First Division 2006. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shakhter Karagandy 2 averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Rakhat Astana averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Shakhter Karagandy 2 won 2, Rakhat Astana won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 7, 2007 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Shakhter Karagandy 2 and 0.88 for Rakhat Astana. This points to a Shakhter Karagandy 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Shakhter Karagandy 2

24%

Draws

22%

Rakhat Astana

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Shakhter Karagandy 2 picked up more points recently compared to Rakhat Astana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Shakhter Karagandy 2 Clean Sheet 25%

Rakhat Astana Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shakhter Karagandy 2	Rakhat Astana
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	17	5
Draws	5	8
Losses	11	17
Goals Scored	1.33	1.03
Goals Conceded	0.91	2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2007 First League

Rakhat Astana vs Shakhter Karagandy 2

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

0:2

Jun 20, 2007 First League

Shakhter Karagandy 2 vs Rakhat Astana

Possession: 43% - 60% Cards: 1 - 3

4:1

Sep 28, 2006 First League

Shakhter Karagandy 2 vs Rakhat Astana

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

May 21, 2006 First League

Rakhat Astana vs Shakhter Karagandy 2

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhter Karagandy 2 54 / 100

Rakhat Astana 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shakhter Karagandy 2 Rakhat Astana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhter Karagandy 2 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Shakhter Karagandy 2 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shakhter Karagandy 2 attacking → ← attacking Rakhat Astana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhter Karagandy 2 scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Rakhat Astana let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Shakhter Karagandy 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rakhat Astana lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 23

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	26	25	1	0	119:14	76
2	Kaspij Aktau	26	19	3	4	63:20	60
3	Gornyak Khromtay	26	17	1	8	40:25	52
4	Cesna Almaty	26	16	4	6	64:30	52
5	Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty	26	15	5	6	39:25	50
6	Akzhayik Uralsk	26	16	1	9	56:31	49
7	Zhambyl Taraz	26	9	8	9	35:30	35
8	Aktobe 2	26	10	3	13	43:50	33
9	Munaily Atyrau	26	6	7	13	25:48	25
10	Ordabasy 2	26	7	3	16	34:65	24
11	Koksu	26	6	2	18	32:59	20
12	AI-Universitet	26	5	4	17	29:57	19
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda 2	26	4	3	19	23:71	15
14	Zhastar Uralsk	26	3	3	20	12:89	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avangard Petropavlovsk	24	16	3	5	39:19	51
2	Asbest Zitikara	24	15	5	4	37:17	50
3	Shakhter Karagandy 2	24	12	8	4	25:12	44
4	Spartak Semey	24	12	7	5	46:25	43
5	Kazakhmys	24	12	5	7	36:35	41
6	Shakhter Yunost	24	11	5	8	41:25	38
7	Aksu	24	10	6	8	32:28	36
8	Ertis Pavlodar 2	24	10	4	10	38:28	34
9	Rakhat Astana	24	9	6	9	27:26	33
10	Vostok Oskemen 2	24	9	5	10	33:37	32
11	Tobol 2	24	4	4	16	20:41	16
12	Energetik Pavlodar 2	24	4	2	18	17:47	14
13	Batyr Ekibastuz	24	2	0	22	13:64	6